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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (26252)8/24/2003 5:21:49 PM
From: Lizzie Tudor  Respond to of 89467
 
Bush may be a decent enough individual, but by letting the neocons drive this warmongering agenda (which the US voters DID NOT consider when he was elected)- he set himself up for defeat. The political talk shows have all the republicans backpeddling. They know they are in trouble on both the Iraq quagmire and the economy/deficit.



To: stockman_scott who wrote (26252)8/24/2003 7:07:08 PM
From: Mannie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
Experts Doubt U.S. Claim on Iraqi Drones

By DAFNA LINZER and JOHN J. LUMPKIN
Associated Press Writers

Huddled over a fleet of abandoned Iraqi drones, U.S.
weapons experts in Baghdad came to one conclusion:
Despite the Bush administration's public assertions,
these unmanned aerial vehicles weren't designed to
dispense biological or chemical weapons.

The evidence gathered this summer matched the
dissenting views of Air Force intelligence analysts who
argued in a national intelligence assessment of Iraq
before the war that the remotely piloted planes were
unarmed reconnaissance drones.

In building its case for war, senior Bush administration
officials had said Iraq's drones were intended to deliver
unconventional weapons. Secretary of State Colin Powell
even raised the alarming prospect that the pilotless
aircraft could sneak into the United States to carry out
poisonous attacks on American cities.

The administration based its view on a Central
Intelligence Agency finding that Iraq had renewed
development of sophisticated unmanned aerial vehicles -
UAVs - capable of such attacks. The Pentagon's Defense
Intelligence Agency also supported this conclusion.

While the hunt for suspected weapons of mass
destruction - and the means to deliver them - continues,
intelligence and defense officials said the CIA and DIA
stand by their prewar assertions about Iraqi drone
capabilities, some of which Powell highlighted in his Feb.
5 presentation to the U.N. Security Council.

But the Air Force, which controls most of the American
military's UAV fleet, didn't agree with that assessment
from the beginning. And analysts at the Pentagon's
Missile Defense Agency said the Air Force view was
widely accepted within their ranks as well.

Instead, these analysts believed the drones posed no
threat to Iraq's neighbors or the United States, officials in
Washington and scientists involved in the weapons hunt
in Iraq told The Associated Press.

The official Air Force intelligence dissent is noted in the October 2002 National Intelligence Estimate on
Iraq's weapons programs, parts of which were declassified last month as the Bush administration tried to
defend its case for war."We didn't see there was a very large chance they (UAVs) would be used to attack
the continental United States," Bob Boyd, director of the Air Force Intelligence Analysis Agency, said in an
AP interview. "We didn't see them as a big threat to the homeland."Boyd also said there was little evidence
to associate Iraq's UAVs with the country's suspected biological weapons program. Facilities weren't in the
same location and the programs didn't use the same people.

Instead, the Air Force believed Iraq's UAV programs were for reconnaissance, as are most American
UAVs. Intelligence on the drones suggested they were not large enough to carry much more than a
camera and a video recorder, Boyd said.

Postwar evidence uncovered in July in Iraq supports those assessments, according to two U.S.
government scientists assigned to the weapons hunt."We just looked at the UAVs and said, 'There's
nothing here. There's no room to put anything in here,

"' one of the scientists said.

The wingspan on drones that Iraqis showed journalists in March measured 24.5 feet and the aircraft were
built like large, white model airplanes.

The U.S. scientists, weapons experts who spoke on condition of anonymity, reached their conclusions
after studying the small aircraft and interviewing Iraqi missile experts, system designers and Gen. Ibrahim
Hussein Ismail, the Iraqi head of the military facility where the UAVs were designed. None of the Iraqis
questioned are in U.S. custody.

While the weapons hunters can't be sure they've recovered all of Iraq's UAVs, the evidence amassed so
far, coupled with the interviews, has led them to believe that none of the drones are designed for
unconventional weapons. Iraqis involved in the program have insisted the drones were for reconnaissance
and electronic jamming.

Some UAVs were kept north of Baghdad. Weapons hunters found some drones in better shape than others
with the most important finds located at a facility in the capital, the U.S. scientists said. Weapons hunters
hauled them back to their base on the outskirts of the Baghdad International Airport where the parts were
analyzed.

The unproven U.S. assertion regarding Iraq's UAV programs is one among many.

American weapons hunters, like their U.N. counterparts, haven't reported finding any chemical, biological
weapons or nuclear weapons in Iraq so far.

The lack of success in uncovering unconventional weapons, after warnings that Iraq posed an immediate
danger, has led critics and some former government analysts to suggest the administration exaggerated
the threat posed by Saddam.

Boyd said the Air Force's dissent was handled fairly, and that his analysts did not feel pressured to alter
their position. "Our view was fully aired in the process," he said.

The Bush administration has made public some of what led it to believe the UAVs were for biological or
chemical weapons attacks.

Before the war, U.S. intelligence agencies learned that officials with Iraq's UAV program tried to buy
commercially available route-planning software that was packaged with electronic maps of the United
States, according to the declassified portion of the National Intelligence Estimate.

This discovery was interpreted by some analysts as a sign Iraq was trying to plan UAV bombing runs over
the United States. But Boyd said Air Force analysts were unconvinced because maps are frequently
bundled with such software.

At the United Nations in February, Powell told the world Iraq had test-flown a UAV well beyond a 93-mile
limit allowed under U.N. rules. But both reconnaissance and offensive aircraft would need to travel long
distances, Boyd said.

Compared to other agencies, Boyd said the Air Force relied more on information from reconnaissance
satellites and less on defectors, in accessing Iraq's UAVs.

Saddam's regime had experimented with remotely controlled jet aircraft modified for biological and chemical
attacks before the 1991 Persian Gulf War, but U.N. inspectors found no evidence that program had been
successful.

Boyd said attempts in the mid-1990s by Saddam's regime to convert an L-29 jet trainer into a dispersal
system were abandoned. U.S. weapons hunters also studied jet trainers found in northern Iraq but found
no evidence they had been converted into biological or chemical weapons carriers, they said.

seattletimes.nwsource.com