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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Raymond Duray who wrote (37447)	8/25/2003 4:53:47 AM
From: maceng2	Respond to of 74559

Of course we have lots of history to use as test material for any plan. Will need computer simulations of the whole thing. Plan to pay off debt in 40 years say. I suggest using the British Channel Tunnel UK experience(not the french side.. they were organised) as an example of how NOT to do things. Thatchers hollowing out of the British Civil Engineering business was a disaster. Do not put a banker in charge, and specially not a Wall Streeter. (I expect you know that of course -g-) It looks as if it will have to be a committie with both private industry (whats left of it) and public works. The Japs, Koreans, Chinese, Euros will be wanting a slice of the pie and that will have to be negotiated too. Save money will be key. It will have to take a very well run Government to execute that plan flawlessly for sure. Criminal behavior could really screw things up. OK gotta go for now..

To: Raymond Duray who wrote (37447)	8/25/2003 2:14:09 PM
From: maceng2	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Hi Raymond. Well, I suppose this really is very much "booms, busts, and recoveries" material. George Gilder recommended companies that put fibre optic cables through tubes for the "new era" economy that was not there. There was a stock market bubble mentality and bent statistics that left out all aspects of reality. The suggestions made for power, commodity, and people transport (in their SUV's if necessary at first, I know how USA citizens feel about their private transport) is a tube of much larger dimensions. Astronomically larger costs too. There are lots of positive knock on aspects though. But there really will be efficiencies in power distribution, and the cost of transporting goods and people should plummet per unit of energy. This may translate into money saved and a workable economy over the longer term. What I am suggesting is that the whole thing should be computer modelled to make sure it has a high measure of confidence going to actually help recover the economy rather then push it further down the bottomless pit. If anyone thinks a six lane freeway is an efficient method of transportation, and a very friggin boring one at that, go and have another look at one. Brunel type vacuum trains could be really efficient. All you need is some decent sized pumps and run them off nuclear power stations. All that mag lev stuff unnecessary. Just like a aircraft running at high altitude is more efficient. Dont know about best top speed, but at least twice as fast as anything in Japan or China right now. You could run them up to very fast indeed -g- Air pockets would make great safety devices for emergency stops. Just like the first Railway in Britain, the project could start on two cities close together that have a high level of transport and commerce. I'll just finish with a link on HB's criticism of those "new era" projects. Message 13839418 Message 13834350 The "bent statistics" I suggested should be maybe used on the more frivolous aspects of the project (as suggested), not the real underlying numbers that perhaps make it feasable. Where the balance of trade in the USA is set back to approximately zero as the primary target.