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To: Brian Sullivan who wrote (5896)8/25/2003 3:47:38 PM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 793707
 
Davis Is Coy on Bustamante
The governor signals his support but stops short of an endorsement, saying he wants to focus on fighting the recall and remaining in office.
By Peter Nicholas, Mark Z. Barabak and Richard Fausset
Times Staff Writers

August 25, 2003

Gov. Gray Davis on Sunday stopped short of endorsing Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante in the recall election, trying to keep voters focused on leaving him in office at a time when other leading Democrats are promoting his lieutenant governor as an alternative if Davis is ousted.

The governor signaled his support for Bustamante, with whom he has maintained chilly relations, but said he would not reveal how he would vote on the question of who should replace him if he is recalled until approximately 10 days before the Oct. 7 election.

In withholding his endorsement until the final days of the campaign, Davis said he was merely following his normal practice.

"Cruz is my friend; he is a very capable person," Davis said on the CNN show "Late Edition with Wolf Blitzer."

"His entry in the race, I think, will actually help me by bringing out more people to vote no on the recall. And clearly he's the most qualified person."

Davis' remarks came on a day when recall candidates made few public appearances and were absorbing the results of a Los Angeles Times poll that showed Bustamante with a comfortable lead over the rest of the field. As for the first question on the ballot, the poll showed 50% of likely voters wanted to force Davis from office, while 45% were opposed and 5% undecided.

In an appearance on Fox News, state Sen. Tom McClintock (R-Thousand Oaks) said that the departure of conservative GOP rival Bill Simon Jr. from the race on Saturday adds momentum to his own campaign, as does the Times Poll that shows him gaining ground on Republican front-runner Arnold Schwarzenegger.

"If you look at the polls, it seems that Arnold is not moving," McClintock said, even with "this all-Arnold, all-the-time all this month."

"We've gone from fifth place ... to third place," he said. "The movement is on our side."

McClintock said he was unconcerned about the potential for spoiling Schwarzenegger's chances against Bustamante, the lone prominent Democrat among the 135 candidates vying to replace Davis if he is recalled Oct. 7.

Schwarzenegger, who has received enormous attention since his surprise entry into the race, was shown to be trailing Bustamante by 13 points. The movie actor's campaign dismissed the poll Sunday as out of step with other public and private surveys that show Davis' support to be weaker and his own stronger.

"Clearly, this is a dynamic that has never been seen before," said Sean Walsh, a spokesman for Schwarzenegger. "In fairness to pollsters, we've never seen candidates like this before; we've never seen a race like this before. It's much like the person who goes to a children's birthday party and has a blindfold put on and is spun around 10 times and asked to pin the tail on the donkey. That's what the pollsters are doing now."

Bruce Cain, a political science professor at UC Berkeley, also voiced skepticism about the value of polls this early, but said the results suggested that Democratic support was gelling around Bustamante at Schwarzenegger's expense. "The Democrats seem to be coming home," Cain said. And, from The Times and other polls, "one thing apparent is that Arnold has not attracted a lot of Democrats."

Cain said Bustamante also had been buoyed by missteps in Schwarzenegger's campaign ? by its ties to former Gov. Pete Wilson and its position on taxes.

Bustamante's campaign manager, Lynn Montgomery, said the candidate was not boasting about the poll results, which showed him leading Schwarzenegger, 35% to 22%. "We still have a lot of work to do and quite a ways to go," Montgomery said. "All we'll continue to do is work hard and make sure that the voters are aware of what our message is. It doesn't change our message, whether we're ahead or behind."

Schwarzenegger added a seasoned GOP media person to his campaign team Sunday. Campaign officials said it was not part of a shakeup.

The Schwarzenegger camp brought on Mike Murphy, a veteran GOP advertising official whose clients have included Arizona Sen. John McCain in the 2000 presidential election, Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Kansas Sen. Bob Dole.

Campaign insiders said the hiring had been planned for some time, though several aides acknowledged being overwhelmed by the tidal wave of attention that Schwarzenegger's candidacy has attracted. "It's a presidential-level frenzy," said one campaign strategist.

Murphy, who was traveling outside the country Sunday and could not be reached for comment, will be overseeing communications and press operations for the actor's gubernatorial bid. His hiring reunites Murphy with Don Sipple, a friend and fellow strategist from Dole's 1996 White House bid. Sipple will continue to oversee TV advertising.

"There's no reshuffling," said one GOP strategist close to the Schwarzenegger camp, "and no one's been demoted. They're understaffed in key areas and they need more political veterans in the campaign."

It is the second time Schwarzenegger has tinkered with his staff since entering the recall race. Less than a week after entering the contest, Schwarzenegger shook up his campaign by bringing in several former aides to ex-Gov. Wilson to handle daily operations and by shrinking the responsibilities of George Gorton, a senior political aide.

Davis' reluctance to issue a clear endorsement of Bustamante reflects a strategy not to direct too much attention toward the lieutenant governor. "The governor has said again and again, his main focus is on Question A on the ballot," Peter Ragone, a Davis campaign spokesman, said Sunday.

"And that is the battle we're fighting.... So the governor has said this morning that Cruz is well-qualified and an honorable public servant."

The message is at variance with that of other interest groups. The California Teachers Assn. and members of the state's Democratic congressional delegation are urging a "no" vote on the recall. But they also are endorsing Bustamante as Davis' successor if the governor loses.

For her part, U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), who also spoke on the CNN program, said she would vote against the recall and avoid choosing a successor.

"It's an idiosyncrasy, in a way," she said. "You say vote no on recall, but vote yes for X. The problem is that you become invested in X. And therefore, as the election draws near, you're tempted to vote yes on recall."

Feinstein also left open the possibility that she could change her mind. "If that should change, I'll watch developments. I'll let people know," she said.
[latimes.com]
latimes.com



To: Brian Sullivan who wrote (5896)8/25/2003 4:27:23 PM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 793707
 
All the name that fits
Dick Rogers
Monday, August 25, 2003
©2003 San Francisco Chronicle | Feedback

URL: sfgate.com

THE MEN AND WOMEN who write headlines at this paper have a problem with Arnold Schwarzenegger. It's not his politics. It's not his acting.

It's his name.

They have the same problem to a lesser degree with some of Schwarzenegger's competition in the campaign to replace Gov. Gray Davis in the Oct. 7 recall election. Think Ueberroth. Bustamante. Huffington.

The common denominator: Their names are long, too long to fit into some headline spaces. Schwarzenegger presents the biggest challenge. The evidence was in a Page 1 story nine days ago with this title:

BUSTAMANTE

AND ACTOR

TAKE LEAD

IN STATE POLL

Fans of the screen star-turned-candidate sensed a conspiracy unfolding under their noses. By naming Bustamante but calling Schwarzenegger a mere actor, The Chronicle was trying to influence the race, bestowing valuable name recognition on one and downplaying the other, they said.

"The headline 'Bustamante and actor take lead in state poll' is blatantly biased and an insult to the intelligence of your readers," a Menlo Park man wrote. "You could have said "Politician and actor" or "Bustamante and Schwarzenegger." The . . . last possibility, "Politician and Schwarzenegger," I am sure, would have resulted in heads rolling at The Chronicle.

"You should leave your political activity to the editorial pages and report the news as straight and accurately as possible without the spin."

To the second paragraph, I say "amen." But the reader might want to know that as of Friday Schwarzenegger's name has appeared in Chronicle headlines and decks 40 times since it became likely that he'd run. Bustamante -- who's been a central figure in the campaign, initially by declaring his opposition to the recall, then by setting the Oct. 7 election date, and finally by deciding to run for governor -- has been named in headlines 15 times). So while Bustamante may have gotten the edge on this headline, there's no sign of bias toward him.

In fact, for every complaint that Schwarzenegger isn't getting his due, there's a comment like this one from a San Francisco reader:

"The amount of attention Arnold Schwarzenegger is getting on this election is outrageous," she wrote about a week ago. "Out of a mere 14 pages, the front section of Thursday's Chronicle contained five articles about him and his campaign (including four headlines including his name), three photos of him, and -- if cut and pasted together -- roughly two entire pages of text devoted to his campaign."

The emergence of Schwarzenegger as an important candidate has created serious difficulties for headline writers across the country. It's no big thing at papers willing to simply call him "Arnold" (or in several cases, "Ah- nold") in news headlines. But here, and probably at most papers, he's no more likely to be called by his first name than Feinstein would be called "Dianne," Clinton would be called "Hillary," or Bustamante would be called "Cruz." Many readers would see that as dismissive, fawning or way too chummy.

First names are out, then, at least in news headlines.

What about the Menlo Park reader's suggestions? Forget the last two. "Schwarzenegger" wouldn't have fit in that two-column-wide space ("Bustamante, " four characters shorter, barely squeezed into the line). The reader is on the right track with "Politician and actor," but there are problems with that, too. Which politician? Audie Bock? Tom McClintock? Bill Simon? Peter Camejo? Arianna Huffington?

By calling Bustamante a politician and Schwarzenegger an actor, his headline would have set up a direct comparison, in effect saying that Schwarzenegger is not a politician. Despite his acting career, Schwarzenegger is politically astute and is surrounding himself with advisers who know the political game.

When I took a stab at the problem, I came up with this:

TWO HOPEFULS

TAKE LEAD

IN LATEST

STATE POLL

This shows why headlines are more art than science -- and why I'm not a headline writer. While I solved the problem raised by the reader, I created a whole new set of shortcomings. The headline is vague. It gives no hint of what race we're talking about or who's in the lead. And here's the deal-breaker: The first line was one character too long.

My supervisor would have kicked it back to me for another try. Give it a go yourself: four lines, no more than 11 characters including spaces, and no fewer than nine characters. Make it specific and in the active voice. Just for good measure, give yourself a five-minute deadline.

Now you know why this gallows humor circulated among copy editors here not long ago: "The headline and deck head horror is out there waiting for us: Imagine writing a headline saying that the recall has been successful, but the race is too close to call between Bustamante, Schwarzenegger, Garamendi and Ueberroth. YIKES."

Yikes, indeed.



To: Brian Sullivan who wrote (5896)8/25/2003 7:46:38 PM
From: JohnM  Respond to of 793707
 
Brian,

You could well be right about force deployment. I really have no serious ideas. However, on the international political front, which may well be more important, any gesture the Bush administration makes to withdraw forces from Korea will be read as lack of commitment and lack of concern on the nuclear proliferation issue. I don't think they will do that.

Back to the UN and what guarantees for troops from nations that have yet to give them? Who knows. But as matters now stand not only will no serious numbers be given without some form of "responsibility" sharing but the security council won't vote a positive vote without a declaration of a mandate. From a rather serious Bush point of view, the mandate is no big problem, is the concern is the "unified command and control" issue. That could be part of the negotations for the mandate, that the US keeps that military stuff.

But, to be honest, I don't see any movement happening for some time. There is reason to think Bush has developed a political tin ear on this issue and will be hit by that "perfect political storm" someone wrote about over the weekend.