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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LindyBill who wrote (5957)8/31/2003 9:08:01 PM
From: Dayuhan  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 793568
 

the practical obstacles to securing an irreversible and verifiable end to Pyongyang's nuclear program through diplomatic negotiations alone are not just formidable, they are overwhelming.

I agree with this almost completely. Negotiations will not achieve an “irreversible and verifiable end” to the North’s nuclear problem, or anything close to it. I doubt that negotiations can achieve anything more than a meaningless promise.

The only fully satisfactory outcome would be regime change, but there are no unilateral military options open that are likely to achieve that, and the multilateral options are thorny, to say the least. The multilateral partners are there, and they have the ability, but the will is very questionable. Not an easy problem.

One could say the same thing about Iran. Easier, in the sense that the deterrent doesn’t exist yet, but large scale military action is going to be very difficult, given the running instability in Iraq, the Korean challenge, and the size of Iran. The air strike is an option, but it’s an option that will have been anticipated for sure.