To: Raymond Duray who wrote (37605 ) 8/31/2003 6:09:26 AM From: Maurice Winn Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559 Raymond, there are plenty of resources for everyone to have a high class lifestyle in 50 years. It's true that not everyone can have a dirty great SUV and 10 lane freeway to roar around on at 80 mph. Actually, they could, but I doubt that cultural oddity will last any more than the monster 1960s Yank tanks. The universe is made of energy. Converting sunlight or other things to useable energy costs about two or three times the current oil price. There is unlimited aluminium, iron, silicon and stuff for making things. The cost won't be going up. It'll probably go down as production costs drop. NZ has forests of pine and other trees for making houses, furniture and things. We can plant millions of hectares more if there's a buck in it. Vegetarians are cutting demand for land, so the number of sheep in NZ has dropped a lot. It takes little land to feed a person if the food isn't first put through an animal. The world's population is going to drop dramatically. It'll be like the irrationally exuberant Y2K peak and bust after decades of increase. Women around the world are choosing not to have children, which the mid 20th century advent of convenient and cheap contraception has enabled. The few remaining people in 50 years will be able to spread out. They will of course choose to live in cities, so they'll not be all that spread out. But the dreaded Malthusian mess is not happening. Too much food is the problem in many places and nobody on earth is suffering famine other than due to political repression and thievery. When you think of quality of life, don't think tonnes of oil burned and calories eaten and freeway miles driven or airpoints scored. Happiness wasn't invented at the gas station. Aquaculture can supply everyone with all the fish they can eat. Oceans are essentially barren. We can bring them back to life. Increasing atmospheric CO2 is a good start because that feeds the little green plants at the bottom of the food chain at the top of the ocean. We can all be wealthy, in absolute terms compared with the median human of Y2K and wildly wealthy compared with the median human of the mid 20th century and unimaginably rich compared with the median human of 1812, when life was normally nasty, brutish and short around the world. With robots making cars, cyberphones, clothes, and other stuff, at low cost, we'll cruise around earning a bit of money giving massages and legal services, cooking meals and otherwise entertaining our fellow humans in a service economy. Mqurice