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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (37710)	9/2/2003 4:38:20 AM
From: EL KABONG!!!	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Hi Jay, The storm is now just to the east of Hong Kong, moving at roughly 30km per hour on a path roughly parallel to the Chinese coastline. It should be very near on top of you somewhere around 8:00pm to 9:00pm your time. The storm is believed stronger than originally estimated by satellite observations. A team of meteorologists from Taiwan flew into the storm (a first time ever effort from any country other than the USA) and dropped weather instruments into Dujuan, confirming that the storm is more powerful than estimated. Going swimming is a good idea only if you're looking for an early entry into the afterlife. Riptide currents can and do often develop with typhoons. And if the current doesn't get you, then the storm surge surely will. The barometric pressure is sufficiently low enough inside Dujuan to allow for a pretty hefty storm surge, maybe 5 to 10 feet over and above the normal tidal waves (not tidal waves as in tsunamis, but normal wave action at the times of high and/or low tide). Winds are strong enough to ensure an onshore surge, so flooding is highly likely. The storm is moving much too fast for rainfall amounts to accumulate too much, so your main worries are the winds, the storm surge and lightning. The storm should pass through relatively quickly, perhaps 4 to 8 hours or so, once it starts in earnest. Here's a satellite picture from only a few minutes ago: maps.weather.com The red "circle" found in the eastern portion of the orange blob is likely the eye wall of the storm. The orange portion represents the worst part of the storm. As you can see, the worst is still well offshore of the Chinese coast, and still over 100 km from Hong Kong. Winds in the orange area are nearly 100 mph, higher with gusts, combined with the forward motion of the storm means that effectively winds will be something like 115 mph to 125 mph, and much stronger as the eye wall approaches. Stay away from windows, and take shelter on the opposite side of your home from the winds. I suspect we may not hear from you for a day or two should the storm play havoc with the Hong Kong electrical supplies. Good luck... KJC