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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: calgal who wrote (4551)	9/3/2003 1:51:13 PM
From: calgal	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 10965

Bush 48% Hillary 41% Election 2004 Presidential Ballot Bush 45% Kerry 36% Other 9% Not Sure 10% RasmussenReports.com Election 2004 Presidential Ballot Bush 45% Dean 34% Other 9% Not Sure 11% RasmussenReports.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Election 2004 Presidential Ballot Bush 48% Clinton 41% Other 7% Not Sure 5% RasmussenReports.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Election 2004 Presidential Ballot Bush 42% Democrat 42% Other 6% Not Sure 10% RasmussenReports.com September 2, 2003--As a Presidential candidate, Senator Hillary Clinton attracts more Democratic votes than other contenders but still trails President Bush 48% to 41%. If the Democrats nominate Senator John Kerry, the President leads 45% to 36%. Against Vermont Governor Howard Dean, Bush leads 45% to 34%. The national telephone survey of 1,499 Likely voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports August 29-September 1, 2003. Margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Senator Clinton would reinforce the divide between Investor and non-Investors that has been growing in recent years. America's Investor Class would vote for Bush over Clinton by a 53% to 35% margin. Non-Investors prefer Clinton 46% to 42%. That represents a net swing of 22 percentage points (from Bush +18 to Bush -4). While the Investor Class gap is larger for Senator Clinton, it exists for all Democratic candidates. Bush leads Dean 51% to 33% among Investors and 40% to 35% among non-Investors. Bush leads Kerry 50% to 33% among Investors and 40% to 39% among non-Investors. Just under half of all Americans belong to the Investor Class. Investors are more likely than others to vote, so they make up nearly 60% of the voting public. While Bush leads individual Democrats, his overall poll numbers have slipped. Against a generic Democrat, the President is now tied, 42% to 42%. A month ago, the President led 44% to 41% against a generic Democrat. The discrepancy between polls comparing Bush to a generic Democrat and those suggesting a specific alternative is the result of several factors. First, the generic ballot enables Democrats to envision their ideal candidate as the President's opponent. This tends to inflate the Democratic vote. Second, the name recognition for individual Democratic candidates (other than Hillary Clinton) is very low. This tends to decrease the Democratic vote. Third, the war issue is still dividing the Democrats. The President has lost ground compared to Kerry and Dean since the end of July. The margin of sampling error for the survey was +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Methodology Rasmussen Consumer Index Martha Stewart Update Ranking Fast Food Companies How reliable is the NY Times? Rasmussen Reports Home Page About Rasmussen Reports rasmussenreports.com

To: calgal who wrote (4551)	9/3/2003 4:40:21 PM
From: American Spirit	Respond to of 10965

It will end up a Kerry-Dean race and Kerry will win. This might not even be decided until the convention but in the end, Kerry will win. Why? Because the people in control understand you can't beat Bush's ra-ra military rally machine with a little ex family doctor from a tiny liberal state. Even if Dean himself isn't that liberal, all his supporters seem to be, and they include what middle America considers "bnuts and flakes on the left" which plays right into the Rove-Limbaugh-GOP attack machine's strengths. Basically, Dean makes Bush look macho, while Kerry makes Bush look like a wimp and a pretender. Kerry also has the right look, right message and the right experience. With Graham, Kerry can beat Bush. Again, in a close race it will all come down to Florida. Only Kerry can make it a close race IMHO. With Graham then, he can win. Most pros know that. The people just need to be educated.

To: calgal who wrote (4551)	9/3/2003 7:34:38 PM
From: Tadsamillionaire	Respond to of 10965

Democrats Quarrel Over Primary Dates By SAM HANANEL The Associated Press Wednesday, September 3, 2003; 5:30 PM WASHINGTON - National Democrats and Washington, D.C., officials are at odds over whose primary comes first in the political calendar - New Hampshire or the District of Columbia. Looking to highlight the district's lack of voting rights in Congress, the D.C. City Council voted this past summer to move the District of Columbia primary from May to Jan. 13, 2004 - two weeks before the tentative date of Jan. 27 for New Hampshire's primary and less than a week before the Iowa caucuses. The brash move incurred the wrath of the Democratic National Committee, which threatened not to seat the district's delegates at the national convention if they are chosen before the New Hampshire contest. So a compromise was reached. While the District of Columbia's primary vote will be first, delegates will not formally be selected until caucuses Feb. 14. In the world of elections, such a nonbinding vote is known as a "beauty contest" - not so much a presidential primary as it is a straw poll to show voter opinion. For that reason, according to DNC officials, New Hampshire retains its hallowed first-in-the-nation crown. The compromise also satisfies official party rules, which prohibit other jurisdictions from moving primaries ahead of the Granite State. "I don't think it's just a question of the words, it has to do with the start of the race for the Democratic nomination," said DNC spokesman Tony Welch. "And in the race for the nomination, New Hampshire is the first primary." That hasn't stopped activists such as Sean Tenner from arguing that the District of Columbia vote is the nation's real first primary. "We made our primary first to draw attention to this injustice - and to make the presidential candidates address D.C.'s plight in order to secure our votes," said Tenner, executive director of the activist group D.C. Democracy Fund, which pushed for the early vote. Tenner argues that the District of Columbia primary is binding - in a way. Three of the city's 28 super-delegates - party officials beholden to no one - have already committed to vote for the primary winner, and his organization is pressuring others to do the same. Only 10 delegates are chosen by the caucuses. washingtonpost.com