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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: William H Huebl who wrote (65712)	9/7/2003 10:18:45 AM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

Well... Yeah. But then again, COT commercials are record long the DOW. I believe they have been pumping this market via DOW futures. I think they also have been accumulating short positions in individual stocks. Classic distribution, aided by pumping the futures. When they decide "enough pumping", and sell the DOW futures - look out below! JMHO

To: William H Huebl who wrote (65712)	9/7/2003 10:39:42 AM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

I think this mess will unravel in a very rapid fashion, once the process sets in motion. We may even buy THE bottom of stocks in 2004, not 2010. And that's in America, not Japan. Of course, it will be quite scary at that point. I expect DOW to trade below 2000, Nasdaq may even trade in the double digits. Derivative markets are very efficient. They are efficient when they blow up, as well. There will be a bad aftermath of the derivative crisis, but my hope is America will come out of it relatively quickly, with not so much blood. I just hope the democracy here can withstand possible dictatorship coming from the president, since things like that have a tendency to happen during bad times. Europe has had experiences like this, but America seemed to enjoy freedoms at all times, and now takes them for granted. That's my scary thought. Yeah, I don't need to clarify where the BK will come from. It's the credit market derivatives, of course. I think the BK is unavoidable at this point, unfortunately