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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: American Spirit who wrote (458039)	9/12/2003 10:53:45 PM
From: SecularBull	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769667

Dean, and outsider? Only to the Beltway... ~SB~

To: American Spirit who wrote (458039)	9/12/2003 11:37:00 PM
From: Richard S	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769667

I did state 35% and not 37% but I don't mind the couple extra percentage points. I think Gephardt would eventually back Dean. I do not see Kerry backing Dean until Dean gets nominated on the first ballot. I believe that Braun, Sharpton, and Graham already back Dean as they have not attacked him in the debates. The total I assumed is only 80% of the vote with 20% undecided. Dean could also gain votes/delegates from this undecided group. However, with Gephardt's delegates, Dean would have the 50% of the delegates he needs.

To: American Spirit who wrote (458039)	9/12/2003 11:45:02 PM
From: Richard S	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769667

I don't think Dean is going to go 3rd party. That makes no sense. Bush would get at least his base which is 40% of the vote and that leaves 35% democratic and 25% independent to split between Dean and the DNC candidate. I still believe that Dean is the strongest candidate, with the most momentum and he will pick up more undecided voters. They will start to make up their minds once they start paying more attention to the primaries following the CA recall.