Kerik resigned last weekend. It was positioned as "his assignment had ended". This from how the Republicans are thinking about election issues.
Leaked Republican poll: Voters think America's on the wrong track, worried about jobs.
Sept. 11, 2003 | Today's blues In New York City this is a day of sparkling skies, droning bagpipes and wrenching memories. Tonight, I'll go to the neighborhood tavern where we spent the strange evening of that awful day two years ago. I have little to add to the reading of names and playing of music that I heard on the radio this morning. (But my column in the current New York Observer does consider the contradictions of White House policy in the years since Sept. 11, 2001.)
Branding irony Even on a dark anniversary, there is always a politician lurking somewhere whose antics can provide some amusement. Proof came in my e-mail this morning from a kindly Capitol mole. The mole sent me a copy of "Fall Communications Environment," the funny memo dispatched yesterday by Rep. Deborah Pryce, R-Ohio, the chairman of the House Republican Conference, to all of her GOP colleagues. Having verified its authenticity with a helpful member of Pryce's staff, I think parts of it are definitely worth sharing -- especially because it provides insight into what Republicans really worry about behind the usual partisan bluster:
"Welcome back. As you are well aware from meeting and talking with your constituents over the August district work period, House Republicans are facing a difficult communications environment. Following the summer vacations and back-to-school preparations, families are returning to their daily routines and focusing again on "kitchen table" issues such as the economy, health care and national security.
"More than any time this year, Americans are increasingly concerned about the economy, their job situation, and the latest developments in Iraq. Because of these concerns converging together in recent weeks, anxiety about the direction of the country has escalated. In the most recent New Models survey conducted by the Winston Group (September 3-4, 1,000 registered voters), the direction of the country now stands at 37-51 right direction-wrong track."
Worse yet, the House Democrats seemed to be getting some traction, according to the Republican pollsters' findings:
"Of those who heard a message from House Democrats, 44 percent were more favorable to Democrats, and 38 percent were less favorable. This is the first time this year that their message received a positive reaction. By contrast, the House Republican message was neutrally received among those who heard a message from Members, with 40 percent being more favorable to House Republicans and 43 percent less favorable."
That sounds like trouble, particularly in combination with the president's recent polling decline. Pryce offers an explanation that isn't altogether convincing:
"The communications terrain during the month of August was rocky for Republicans in sharing our message. For the better part of six weeks, nine Democrats running for their party's presidential nomination saturated the airwaves. With the exception of the California recall, these Democrats jumped from issue to issue, attacking Republican initiatives without abandon [sic] or shame."
Haven't Republicans been saying that nobody pays attention to those Democratic candidates? Anyway, there is good news too, offered in the kind of advertising jargon that can only cheer up everybody:
"The good news is that this communications setback can be remedied and turned around if we start now.
"Despite a favorable reception of Democrat messages during August, House Republicans continue to sustain a favorable brand image with American households, significantly better than House Democrats. This is a tremendous achievement of which we should all be proud.
"For over a year now, House Republicans have surpassed Democrats in effectively communicating our messages. The brand image of House Republicans stands at 50-39 favorable-unfavorable, and the brand image of House Democrats stands at 46-43. We can't let up now.
"Throughout the course of the past five years, we have worked diligently to build a favorable brand image. Despite shifts in the direction of the country and a tough communications environment, our brand has been successfully sustained."
Branding isn't everything, though. Consumer (or in this case, voter) preferences must be taken into account:
"Once again, economy/jobs has eclipsed national security/terrorism as the top concern among Americans. Today, the message is simple yet powerful: jobs, jobs, jobs. According to the New Models survey, economy/jobs stands at 33 percent, followed by defense/terrorism (14 percent), education (10 percent), and health care/prescription drugs (9 percent).
"The issue of the economy is more important than ever, and because voters tend to define the economy in the context of jobs, our central message must remain focused on jobs. The House passed a job creation [sic] package in May, but our jobs message and our efforts to create more jobs must continue.
"During these final weeks, keep in mind that we need to frame every bill and issue in the context of jobs and communicate our message from the perspective of jobs and job creation. As your Conference Chair, I ask that you please be attentive to driving a jobs message more than ever before. It is not possible for you to talk about jobs too much!"
About the writer Joe Conason writes a daily journal for Salon. He also writes a weekly column for the New York Observer. His new book, "Big Lies: The Right-Wing Propaganda Machine and How It Distorts the Truth," is now available.
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