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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stockman_scott who wrote (4764)	9/15/2003 1:46:22 AM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (6) \| Respond to of 10965

Many top liberals are getting excited by Clark. Those who want an outsider and previously liked Dean but realize he's too much of a pacifist Vermonter. Plus Clark is just a much nicer more credible and earnest guy than Dean. Looks you in the eye and all that. However Clark has almost zero domestic experience. If Clark runs, and I hope he does, the GOP will not be able to call the Dem candidates "wimps" anymore. It will be awful news for Bush because Clark can really hurt him every time he opens his mouth. Dean will also not be able to call himself "the outsider candidate" anymore. He will have to split that vote which is as much as 35% of the total. Clark will steal Dean's spotlight and could quickly amass about 15% support. That's a lot because no candidate has more than about 20%. Could be a five-way tie more or less until voting day. Clark will hurt all the candidates a little, but Dean the most. Watch it happen. In the end though I'm still 90% sure Kerry will be the nominee. If not him, then Gephardt with the unions. But even Kerry or Gephardt will never get more than 30% of he primary vote. No one will. That means it will be a brokered convention. Kerry-Clark will probably emerge but have to fight off Gephardt.