To: American Spirit who wrote (461186 ) 9/18/2003 5:08:57 PM From: Hope Praytochange Respond to of 769670 For General's Rivals, Varying Cause to Worry By Dan Balz Washington Post Staff Writer Thursday, September 18, 2003; Page A06 Retired Army Gen. Wesley K. Clark is a candidate in search of a constituency, and depending on where he might find it, almost any of his major rivals for the Democratic presidential nomination has something to fear. Too little is known about Clark, Democratic and Republican strategists said yesterday, to know whether his attractive résumé and grass-roots following will translate into political success. At a minimum, the Arkansan has launched one of the most unusual candidacies in the recent history of presidential campaigns -- that of an antiwar general. His impact already has been felt. Over the past week, he has soaked up valuable television time and columns of newsprint at the expense of his nine Democratic rivals. At a time when all the Democrats are trying to raise their profiles, Clark's arrival in the race makes it more difficult. "I think there will be a lot of noise for a while, and it will take a while to settle in," said David Axelrod, media adviser to Sen. John Edwards (D-N.C.). "We know what the potential and the power is. I expect he will get quite a bit of attention the next few weeks. They don't call it news for nothing, and he's new." For Howard Dean, the intense news media interest in Clark may have been propitious, given that it has temporarily diverted attention from what was intensifying scrutiny and criticism of a series of statements the former Vermont governor has made. But that is a short-term effect. Clark's candidacy, several strategists said privately, may serve to flatten the entire Democratic field, as if to underscore that there are enough questions about each of the candidates among undecided Democrats to make it possible for a novice candidate to attract significant attention. Republican strategists in particular said Clark's entry diminished the rest of the candidates, although they have a political interest in saying so. Clark's impact also could be felt quickly in fundraising. Between now and Sept. 30, all the candidates will be pushing to raise as much money as possible to increase their totals for the third quarter. July and August are traditionally slow fundraising months, but the last weeks of September are normally some of the best weeks of the year. Gina Glantz, who was Democrat Bill Bradley's campaign manager in 2000 and now is with the Service Employees International Union, said the other candidates will be able to tell quickly whether Clark is drying up contributions. She said Clark's ability to draw money that might have gone elsewhere will be a better quick indicator of his drawing power than the polls. Clark starts the campaign with limited support among Democratic voters. A Washington Post-ABC News Poll released over the weekend showed Clark at 6 percent, running behind Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman (Conn.), Rep. Richard A. Gephardt (Mo.), Sen. John F. Kerry (Mass.) and Dean. The other five candidates were all in single digits below Clark. Several Republican strategists said they did not see Clark as a strong candidate. "I don't go to bed worrying that we're going to face General Clark," GOP pollster Bill McInturff said on CNBC's "Capital Report." Because the Democratic contest remains so unsettled, however, any growth by Clark will come at the expense of one of the other candidates, and Democratic and Republican strategists have been busy attempting to measure Clark's potential impact on the field. The most popular assumption is that he could hurt Dean and Kerry most. "I think he's going to compete in the Dean-Kerry space as a critic of the war and a critic of Bush's foreign policy," said Bill Carrick, an adviser to Gephardt. "He's going to be in there competing with the same universe of voters that Dean has been dominating so far, and Kerry obviously has shown an inclination to compete there." Dean's campaign advisers understand better than the others the potential power of a grass-roots-based candidacy, and several strategists said the combination of Clark's opposition to Bush on foreign policy, his posture as a candidate not bred in Washington and the apparent strength of the draft-Clark constituency could combine to halt Dean's rise or even cut into his support. Kerry likes to say he is the only candidate in the race who has seen combat. Clark's entry makes it more difficult for Kerry to play that card, although Kerry advisers say their candidate can link his military service to the fights he's taken on as a politician, fights that are important to Democratic constituencies. "I think we can win that competition," a Kerry adviser said. Edwards and Sen. Bob Graham (Fla.) now have another southern-based candidate to deal with. Lieberman, who has promoted himself as the Democratic candidate who can best neutralize Bush's advantages on national security issues because of his pro-defense record, now has a career military officer who can make the same claim. Gephardt may be the least directly affected because his campaign is economically based and aimed at blue-collar and union Democrats. But even he could feel the impact of Clark's entry if the retired general helps to reduce Gephardt's chances of winning the AFL-CIO endorsement next month. All that depends on Clark and how well he makes the transition to being a candidate. As the adviser to one of the other Democrats said, "He is a theory now. He's not proven anything as a candidate. He doesn't have the infrastructure, and he has to raise an enormous amount of money. That's challenging, and anyone involved in any of these campaigns knows how challenging it is."