To: Ed Huang who wrote (1866 ) 9/20/2003 4:23:13 AM From: GUSTAVE JAEGER Respond to of 22250 Re: Obviously it’s not in France and Russia’s(and most other countries’) interests to see large scale US troops to be sent to the Middle East and take over the region. Hindsight makes you dance faster than the music... Where did the US intervene right after 911?? Was it in Iraq? NO, the US zeroed in on Afghanistan --Iraq wasn't even on the radar... We had to wait another 1.5 year and an escalating deterioration in Palestine to see the US put Iraq back on the front burner. After all, no later than yesterday did President Bush claim that Saddam was NOT involved in 911. Again, don't underestimate Russia's anxiety over Central Asia... Somehow both Russia and Western Europe face the same challenge: both are bordered by a Southern belt of Muslim countries --except that Europe is "protected" by the Mediterranean... There's no sea or mountainous chain to shield Russia from the Muslim creep. BTW, did you check the CIA factbook on Pakistan and Russia? Here's the latest CIA estimates: Pakistan's population (as of July 2003): 150 million vs Russia's pop of 145 million... All in all, the US intervention is a mitigated success for Pakistan and Musharraf... As I put it, it's similar to the carve-up of Poland between Hitler's Germany and Stalin's USSR in 1939: just like Hitler couldn't stand an independent Poland on Germany's doorstep, Putin couldn't contemplate an independent Afghanistan... The only difference is that the Afghan carve-up was/is mediated by the US whereas back in 1939, Poland was merely half-invaded by Germany... Come to think of it, did you know what pretext Hitler used to justify the invasion of Poland September 1st, 1939? Well, Abwehr troops were secretly airdropped in Poland and disguised as Polish soldiers... Their mission was to assault a German custom office on the Polish border. The provocation was used by Hitler to invade Poland --ring a bell? Putin used the same trick when he decided to pull the plug on Massoud.... Gus