To: RealMuLan who wrote (829 ) 9/25/2003 3:53:08 AM From: GUSTAVE JAEGER Respond to of 6370 TECHNOLOGYSpace Odyssey Launching its first man into orbit should show the world just how seriously China must be taken --------------------------------------------------------By David Murphy/BEIJING Issue cover-dated October 02, 2003 ------------------------------------------------------- BOLDLY GOING WHERE no Chinese has gone before, Beijing is expected to put its first man into space in October, joining the elite club of just the United States and Russia. Forty-two years after Yuri Gagarin's flight stunned the world, the prospect of the first yuhangyuan, or Chinese astronaut, is set to make waves in the space programmes of other countries. That's not because it's threatening--experts say there is little or no military application in a manned flight--but because it's a benchmark of how far China's space programme has come, and how far it intends to go. "This is purely political, it's a demonstration that they've arrived," says David Baker, editor of Jane's Space Directory in London. "China is taking a megaphone to the world and shouting: 'We are capable, take us very seriously'." Details are scarce--even the astronauts' names haven't been revealed. One or possibly two will take off in a capsule called Shenzhou V (Divine Vessel) that will lift off from Jiuquan in Gansu province in the northwest in October, according to the Beijing Morning Post on September 18. The capsule should land on the steppes of Inner Mongolia at least one day later. The flight should crown a decade of progress in civilian applications of space technology and China's ability to launch satellites--both for itself and for other countries. "Clearly there is a huge economic component to it in terms of the ability to forecast weather, the ability to provide communications to remote parts of China and other areas," says Dean Cheng, an Asia analyst at the CNA Corp., a think-tank based in Alexandria, Virginia, and close to the United States military. The military implications of the programme are hard to quantify. But China's leap into space is dominated by the military and will probably produce much dual-use technology. That is making some countries nervous. One consequence is that Japan is merging its three existing space entities into a consolidated body modelled on the U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration. "Japan is seriously worried about China's long-term intentions," says Baker. China's manned space debut could also provide a jolt to the U.S. space programme itself, in the doldrums since the Columbia space-shuttle disaster in February this year. The space shuttles will likely remain grounded until at least the middle of 2004. "But meanwhile Russia is supplying the space station and China launches its manned space flight. This could be the very thing that stiffens the resolve to go for more ambitious goals in the American space programme," says Baker. [snip]feer.com (registration is free)