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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (9500)9/26/2003 5:41:55 AM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793758
 
Good rundown, IMO.

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Nagging Democratic naysayers
By Barry Casselma
THE WASHINGTON TIMES
Published September 26, 2003

The details of nominating a president of the United States have evolved constantly in the nation's history, determined by changing communications technology, demographics, political circumstances and, most recently, a trendy clacque of expensive political operatives known euphemistically as "consultants."
The election of 2004, particularly on the Democratic side, is heading toward an apotheosis of this process, composed on a monotonal theme on the word "no." There are two kinds of presidential aspirants. First, there are the "anointed" figures, chosen by party leaders and the media, whose names are increasingly tossed about in speculation, one or two of whom are depicted as frontrunners. Second, there are those who usually hold public office, but who are not nationally well-known.
The second category in 2004 includes former Gov. Howard Dean, Sen. Bob Graham, Sen. John Edwards, and now Gen. Wesley Clark. The first category — the names which have been speculated about for the past three years — include Sen. Joseph Lieberman, Sen. John Kerry, and Congressman Gephardt. The presumptive arbiters of a presidential contest, the media and the political consultants, always attempt to control public perceptions of the candidates — and the standards by which these candidates are to be judged by the voters. When the contest begins in earnest, however, American voters have a curious history of asserting themselves in unpredictable ways. Second-category candidates thus often end up as finalists, and frontrunners often fade.
In recent history, the Democrats, more than the Republicans, have thought out previously unknown figures as their presidential nominee finalists: John Kennedy, George McGovern, Jimmy Carter, Gary Hart (who came close but was not nominated) and Bill Clinton. Each of them, as they got close to the nomination, provoked unease and opposition in the Democratic Party establishments of their time.
In the frenetic and premature campaign of 2004, without a vote being cast, the list of Democratic candidates has already experienced upheaval. Early frontrunner Kerry has been mired in the background, as has Mr. Gephardt. The Edwards campaign has not taken off. Only a newly feisty Mr. Lieberman appears to remain in contention — although most in the media continue to roll their eyes at his prospects.
The current frontrunner, determined not so much by polls (and certainly not by any actual votes), is Mr. Dean whose grass-roots organization and appeal to the Democratic Party's populist base has been notable. Mr. Dean is a moderate who has decided to adopt the class warfare populist rhetoric of the most liberal wing of the party. It has been a clever strategy, enabling him to emerge from the pack of his rivals, and establishing him early as the man to beat. But Mr. Dean is also a threat to the Democratic Party establishment, still largely controlled by former President Bill Clinton and his wife, Sen. Hillary Clinton (primarily through their fundraising and national party chair Terry McAuliffe). Mr. Dean has signalled that he will bring new leadership to the party organization, and this is problematic for Senator Clinton who is known to have ambitions to run for president in 2008.
The Stop-Dean movement has thus already begun. But the Clintons have apparently decided not to coalesce around their friend Joe Lieberman (with whom they also share political views). Instead, they have promoted the candidacy of Gen. Clark. In the abstract, Gen. Clark would seem to be the ideal figure to stop the momentum toward Mr. Dean. A former distinguished career military officer, Gen. Clark would seem to heal the Democrats' most glaring vulnerability — national defense.
But it remains so far an abstraction. Gen. Clark's announcement went well, as has his post-declaration publicity. Yet, this success seems mostly to be made of the negative energies of stopping Mr. Dean —and many Democrats' compulsive hatred of President Bush. Mr. Clark, furthermore, has apparently little skill in dealing with the relentless scrutiny of the media, and has had to bring in advisers to teach him how to do it. Seasoned observers of presidential campaigns note this as a critical sign that the candidate is not ready for this most prime of public time.
The party establishment¶s efforts to stop Mr. Dean is reminiscent of a similar effort in 1976 to stop the imminent nomination of Jimmy Carter. Party leaders and labor leaders, distrustful of Mr. Carter's upstart success, urged Hubert Humphrey to enter the race at the last hour. Humphrey began to dog the Carter campaign in late primary states, and speculation grew that he would run. But following a rude broadside from Mr. Carter, calling him a man of the past, Humphrey decided not to run, and the race proceeded to the former Georgia governor's nomination. Mr. Dean may have to send a similar broadside to the Clinton/Clark Democrats of today.
So far, none of the Democrats, including Mr. Dean or Mr. Clark, has introduced a truly positive new idea to the 2004 campaign. By conducting their nominating process so far in advance of actual primary voting, they have risked articulating the contest against the incumbent president indelibly in negative terms. I would not presume to second-guess what the voters will do next year, but I know of no instance when American voters replaced an incumbent president with a nagging naysayer who doesn't know how to say yes.

Barry Casselman has reported on and analyzed national politics since 1976.



To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (9500)9/26/2003 5:49:51 AM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 793758
 
What Would We Do Without Mongolian Colonels?
"Col. B. Erkhenbayar, the commander of the Mongolian forces, noted that much had changed since the last Mongolian mission to Iraq, 745 years ago."--photo caption, New York Times, Sept. 25



To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (9500)9/26/2003 7:29:49 AM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 793758
 
Sharon affirms decision to `remove' Arafat
MARK LAVIE, Associated Press Writer
Friday, September 26, 2003
©2003 Associated Press

URL: sfgate.com

(09-26) 03:46 PDT JERUSALEM (AP) --

Israel is determined to "remove" Yasser Arafat one day, even though the Palestinian leader might get hurt if he is seized by Israeli troops, Prime Minister Ariel Sharon said in an interview published Friday.

Sharon also indicated that prisoners held in Europe could be part of a German-brokered swap between Israel and the Iranian-backed Lebanese guerrilla group Hezbollah.

Israeli newspapers, citing Israeli officials, reported Friday that England and Germany are willing to release Iranian and Lebanese prisoners they hold, in exchange for information on missing Israeli airman Ron Arad, who Israel says is held by Iran.

Also Friday, the Israeli military tightened a Palestinian travel ban in the West Bank and Gaza Strip because of the two-day Jewish New Year's holiday which ends Sunday evening. In most of the West Bank, Palestinians were barred from leaving their communities during the holiday. All Palestinians were banned from entering Israel, in an attempt to prevent possible attacks by militants.

Sharon told the Israeli daily Yediot Ahronot that Israel is determined to "remove" Arafat one day. He said a decision to that effect by Israel's security Cabinet on Sept. 11 canceled his personal promise to President Bush -- made several years ago -- not to harm the Palestinian leader physically.

"You have to keep in mind that it is very difficult to ensure that he (Arafat) won't be harmed if we seize him," Sharon said.

Other top Israeli officials have said the term "removal" could mean both expulsion and assassination, but Sharon's remarks seemed to suggest that the first choice is to oust Arafat, not kill him.

Sharon said that American concerns will be taken into account. "But I repeat and emphasize: the fundamental decision to remove Arafat has been adopted by Israel," Sharon said.

The Cabinet decision was roundly condemned by the international community, including by the United Nations.

Israeli Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom told Secretary of State Colin Powell this week that Israel did not plan to take action against Arafat right away, and would consult the United States before such a move, a U.S. State Department official said Thursday. The Bush administration has asked Israel not to exile him.

In the West Bank, the incoming Palestinian prime minister, Ahmed Qureia, said he has concluded consultations on his new Cabinet and will present the team of ministers to parliament for approval within the coming days.

Leaders of the ruling Fatah party will meet Saturday to discuss and approve the names, Palestinian officials said. One-third of the ministers will be newcomers from Fatah, and at least two Cabinet members, Foreign Minister Nabil Shaath and Finance Minister Salam Fayad, will keep their jobs, the officials said.

Qureia has given Fatah -- and thereby Arafat -- considerable say in putting together the Cabinet. Qureia has said that, unlike predecessor Mahmoud Abbas, he will not challenge Arafat. The United States had initially hoped that the new post of prime minister would help sideline Arafat by forcing him to give up some power.

Israel has said it would not deal with an Arafat-controlled Cabinet.

However, Sharon has not ruled out doing business with Qureia, whom he has met repeatedly in recent years. In an interview with Yediot, Sharon described Qureia as a cunning politician and said he would judge him on his deeds, not his statements. Israel wants the Palestinians to dismantle Palestinian militant groups, as required by the U.S.-backed "road map" peace plan, but Qureia has suggested he will not use force against the militants.

Israeli newspapers, meanwhile, said several Iranian and Lebanese prisoners held in England and Germany could be traded for information on Arad, the navigator shot down over Lebanon in 1986.

Britain is holding Hade Soleimanpour, 47, who was arrested Aug. 21 on an Argentine warrant. Argentina accuses him of conspiracy to murder over the 1994 bombing of the Jewish community center in Buenos Aires, in which 85 people died.

Soleimanpour was Iran's ambassador to Argentina at the time. He is now a graduate student at Durham University in northeast England.

According to the Israeli daily Maariv, England has agreed to cooperate with Israel and has sent a message to Iran saying that it would consider releasing the former diplomat in exchange for information on Arad.

The Haaretz daily said Germany is willing to release two Lebanese and an Iranian in a prisoner swap. Haaretz said the three are held in Germany for the murder of Iranian Kurdish dissident Sadik Sharafkindi and three of his associates in a Berlin restaurant in September 1992.

In April 1997, a German court ruled that the killing was ordered at the highest level in Iran and implicated the outgoing intelligence minister, Ali Fallahiyan. The court convicted an Iranian, allegedly an intelligence agent, and a Lebanese accomplice of murder and two other Lebanese as accessories.

As part of the emerging deal, Israel would free several hundred Arab prisoners, many of them Palestinians, in exchange for Israeli businessman Elhanan Tannenbaum and the bodies of three soldiers kidnapped by Hezbollah in 2000.

©2003 Associated Press



To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (9500)9/26/2003 10:06:28 AM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 793758
 
Hitchens reviews a book about the murder of Daniel Pearl, but it is really about the "Islamists." The conclusions of the book, which Hitchens stays away from, are a real "leap of faith," IMO. But the underlying truth of the danger we face from the Muslim extremists is very real.
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fighting words
Inside the Islamic Mafia
Bernard-Henri Lévy exposes Daniel Pearl's killers.
By Christopher Hitchens
Posted Thursday, September 25, 2003, at 10:18 AM PT

I remember laughing out loud, in what was admittedly a mirthless fashion, when Khalid Sheikh Muhammad, one of Osama Bin Laden's most heavy-duty deputies, was arrested in Rawalpindi, Pakistan. Straining to think of an apt comparison, I fail badly. But what if, say, the Unabomber had been found hiding out in the environs of West Point or Fort Bragg? Rawalpindi is to the Pakistani military elite what Sandhurst is to the British, or St Cyr used to be to the French. It's not some boiling slum: It's the manicured and well-patrolled suburb of the officer class, very handy for the capital city of Islamabad if you want to mount a coup, and the site of Flashman's Hotel if you are one of those who enjoys the incomparable imperial adventure-stories of George MacDonald Fraser. Who, seeking to evade capture, would find a safe house in such a citadel?

Yet, in the general relief at the arrest of this outstanding thug, that aspect of the matter drew insufficient attention. Many words of praise were uttered, in official American circles, for the exemplary cooperation displayed by our gallant Pakistani allies. But what else do these allies have to trade, except al-Qaida and Taliban suspects, in return for the enormous stipend they receive from the U.S. treasury? Could it be that, every now and then, a small trade is made in order to keep the larger trade going?

One hesitates to utter thoughts like these, but they recur continually as one reads Bernard-Henri Lévy's latest book: Who Killed Daniel Pearl? Everybody remembers—don't they?—the ghastly video put out on the Web by Pearl's kidnappers and torturers. It's the only live-action footage we possess of the ritual slaughter of a Jew, preceded for effect by his coerced confession of his Jewishness. Pearl was lured into a trap by the promise of a meeting with a senior religious demagogue, who might or might not have shed light on the life of the notorious "shoe-bomber," because of whom millions of us must take off our footwear at American airports every day, as if performing the pieties required for entering a mosque.

What a sick joke all this is, if you study Lévy's book with care. If you ever suspected that the Pakistani ISI (or Interservices Intelligence) was in a shady relationship with the Taliban and al-Qaida forces, this book materializes the suspicion and makes the very strong suggestion that Pearl was murdered because he was doing his job too well, not because he was a naive idealist who got into the wrong car at the wrong time. His inquiries had at least the potential for exposing the Pakistani collusion and double-dealing with jihad forces, in much the same pattern the Saudi Arabian authorities have been shown to follow—by keeping two sets of books, in other words, and by exhibiting only one set to Americans.

Like a number of those who take a moral stand on this, Bernard-Henri Lévy was a strong defender of Bosnia's right to exist, at a time when that right was being menaced directly by Serbian and Croatian fascists. It was a simplification to say that Bosnia was "Muslim," but it would also have been a simplification to say that the Bosnians were not Muslims. The best resolution of this paradox was to assert that Bosnia-Herzegovina stood for ethnic and cultural pluralism, and to say that one could defend Islam from persecution while upholding some other important values at the same time. I agree with M. Lévy that it was a disgrace at the time, and a tragedy in retrospect, that so few Western governments took this opportunity.

But now we hear, from those who were indifferent to that massacre of Muslims, or who still protest the measures that were taken to stop the massacre, that it is above all necessary for the West to be aware of Islamic susceptibilities. This plea is not made on behalf of the pluralistic citizens of Sarajevo, but in mitigation of Hamas and Hezbollah and Saddam Hussein. One of the many pleasures of Lévy's book is the care he takes to show the utter cynicism of the godfathers of all this. He quotes by name a Saudi lawyer who specializes in financial transactions:

"Islamism is a business," he explains to me with a big smile. "I don't say that because it's my job, or because I see proof of it in my office ten times a day, but because it's a fact. People hide behind Islamism. They use it like a screen saying 'Allah Akbar! Allah Akbar!' But we know that here. We see the deals and the movements behind the curtain. In one way or another, it all passes through our hands. We do the paperwork. We write the contracts. And I can tell you that most of them couldn't care less about Allah. They enter Islamism because it's nothing other than a source of power and wealth, especially in Pakistan. … Take the young ones in the madrassas. They see the high rollers in their SUVs having five wives and sending their children to good schools, much better than the madrassas. They have your Pearl's killer, Omar Sheikh, right in front of their eyes. When he gets out of the Indian prisons and returns to Lahore, what do the neighbors see? He's very well-dressed. He has a Land Cruiser. He gets married and the city's big-shots come to his wedding."

Everything we know about al-Qaida's operations, as of those of Saddam Hussein, suggests that they combine the culture of a crime family or cartel with the worst habits of a bent multinational corporation. Yet the purist critics of "globalization" tend to assume that the spiritual or nationalistic claims of such forces still deserve to be taken at their own valuation, lest Western "insensitivity" be allowed to triumph.

And this in turn suggests another latent connection, which Lévy does not stress at all though he does dwell upon one of its obvious symptoms. The most toxic and devotional rhetoric of these Islamic gangsters is anti-Semitism. And what does anti-Semitism traditionally emphasize? Why, the moving of secret money between covert elites in order to achieve world domination! The crazed maps of future Muslim conquest that are pictured by the propaganda of jihad and that show the whole world falling to future Muslim conquest are drawn in shady finance-houses and hideaways of stolen gold and portable currency, in the capital cities of paranoid states, and are if anything emulations of the Protocols of the Elders of Zion rather than negations of them. Lévy's reformulation of an old term—"neo-anti-Judaism" instead of the worn-out phrase "anti-Semitism"—is harder on the tongue but more accurate as regards the corrupt and vicious foe with which we are actually dealing. His book was finished before it became clear that the "resistance" in Iraq was also being financed by an extensive mafia, which offers different bonuses for different kamikaze tactics, as it was already doing in Palestine and Kashmir.

In a recent conversation, M. Lévy said to me carefully that he doubts the conventional wisdom of the Western liberal, who believes that a settlement in Palestine will remove the inflammation that produces jihad. A settlement in Palestine would be a good thing in itself, to be sure. But those who believe in its generally healing power, he said, have not been following events in Kashmir. Indeed, it is from the Pakistani-Saudi periphery that the core challenge comes. I don't think that anyone who follows Lévy's inquiry into corruption and fanaticism, and the intimate bond between them, will ever listen patiently to any facile argument again.

Christopher Hitchens is a columnist for Vanity Fair and author of The Long Short War: The Postponed Liberation of Iraq.

Article URL: slate.msn.com