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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (1265)10/6/2003 8:45:04 AM
From: loantech  Respond to of 110194
 
Russ I don't know about foreigners but people are overbuying right and left in Portland and Vancouver. Not to this extent. But 97% Loan to value FHA loans and increasingly popular 100% loan to value one loan or piggyback 80% 1st and 20% 2nd's with zero down. Usually with an artificially raised sales price by a few thousand dollars so the seller will pay the closing costs. A majority of recent borrowers this past few years or so have zero to little equity going in and most are buying pricey enough housing to have a combined hosing and total debt to income ratio approaching 50%. That means on a family income of $5,000 monthly their debt load is $2,500. After tax income being $3250-$3500 this leaves $750.00-$1,000 per month for day care, food, utilities, insurance, entertainment, gas and oil and automobile upkeep. Of course nothing left here for savings we are just talking living payday to payday. If either spouse has their employment situation interrupted there will be an immediate crisis.
Tom



To: russwinter who wrote (1265)10/6/2003 10:46:52 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
nothing behind the gold selloff
jyen is holding at 90.2
euro backing up to 116.4
copper is solid at 84.0
crude oil backing up to 30.5

pure paper assault, adding to the huge short interest

both silver & gold should rebound before too long
heard of substantial visible stop sell points which were attacked and hit on Friday
when will investors learn to use mental stops instead?

we are approaching cold season
some agriculutural report indicated we are already considerably colder than last year
e.g. Canadian snow pack is descending quickly, jet flows turning more southerly
impact on natgas could be sooner than expected

/ jim