To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (10993 ) 10/7/2003 3:30:04 PM From: LindyBill Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793801 "The New Republic has another Online Debate going, this one on the Israel/Pal conflict. I will post it daily. Money Quote: "The reason there is no peace in the Middle East isn't because of Israel's policies but Israel's existence." _______________________________________________ ONLINE DEBATE The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict by Yossi Klein Halevi & Leon Wieseltier Only at TNR Online Post date: 10.07.03 Tuesday Yossi Klein Halevi Tuesday Yossi Klein Halevi 10.07.03, 1:00 p.m. Leon, This has been a week of Israeli milestones, with observances of two traumatic anniversaries. The first was the 30th anniversary of the 1973 Yom Kippur War. Since then, every Yom Kippur has been about that Yom Kippur, and this year even more so. Newspaper supplements and television documentaries and docudramas are recreating the moment when Israel, surprised by invading Egyptian and Syrian armies, lost confidence in its leaders and in even its own justness. For many Israelis, the real trauma of the war was that it happened at all. Had we paid attention to Anwar Sadat's peace signals in the early 1970s, the left argued, Egypt would never have been forced to go to war in the first place. (Never mind that the left also argued that Sadat was emboldened to make peace four years later because his initial military victory in the early days of the war restored Arab self-respect.) Over the following decades, a majority of Israelis came to believe that one reason peace eludes Israel is because Israel doesn't vigorously pursue peace. That was a classic Zionist way of thinking: Jewish fate depends on Jewish initiative. If you will peace, it is no dream. But that assumption has been overturned by the other anniversary that Israel marked this week--the third anniversary of the current terrorist war, which continues to produce new levels of horror, like Saturday's bombing in Haifa that killed three generations of two families. Israeli resolve has been, in large measure, a result of our ability to overcome the Yom Kippur guilt syndrome. Golda Meir and Moshe Dayan and the other discredited leaders of the hawkish Labor Party turned out to be right after all: The reason there is no peace in the Middle East isn't because of Israel's policies but Israel's existence. Rather than terrorism being a frustrated response to occupation, the opposite has become true: The occupation now persists because of terrorism. The post-Yom Kippur War mood despised the status quo--the old Labor policy of sitting tight in the territories and waiting for an Arab peace initiative. Yet the status quo is precisely what most Israelis today accept as the only relatively safe policy. Most Israelis agree that renewing the peace process is impossible so long as Yasir Arafat controls the Palestinian Authority, a point reinforced by Abu Mazen's downfall. And unilateral withdrawal, however appealing, will only reinforce the message of Israel's Lebanon withdrawal that Israel is on the run--a message which encouraged the current Palestinian terror offensive. With the status quo, however painful, Israel continues to fight terrorism, with impressive daily successes, while avoiding drastic action like expelling Arafat, which could destroy America's efforts to stabilize Iraq. Israel's recent attack against a terrorist base in Syria, though, is a long-overdo recognition that the terrorist infrastructure is hardly confined to the Palestinian territories but extends from Iran to Saudi Arabia. The message of Israel's air strike to the Arab world is that we consider blowing up our buses and restaurants to be acts of aggression for which we hold responsible all those who actively support terror. Meanwhile, construction of the fence sends a message to the Palestinians that with the absence of a willingness to negotiate a compromise, settlement will eventually result in a unilaterally imposed border that will be less advantageous to the Palestinians than the offer they rejected at Camp David. The combined effect of military pressure and the fence could further weaken Palestinian resolve. The recent statement by Mohammed Dahlan--that the Palestinians failed after September 11 to realize that the ground rules had changed and that terrorism would no longer work--is one more indication that waiting for the Palestinians to break remains a realistic strategy. Still, Israeli resolve shouldn't be taken for granted, either. While most Israelis agree that this war isn't our fault and the left remains leaderless and demoralized, there are some worrying signs. According to one poll, 43 percent of Israelis say they are in despair about the country, and 73 percent don't see a positive future for the younger generation. (Oddly, though, another poll shows most Israelis to be personally content.) And then there's the letter by the 27 pilots opposed to flying missions in the territories. True, only nine of the signatories serve in the active reserves, and one of them has just retracted. Nor do they have much support: If most Israelis are angry at the air force, it's for dropping a half-ton rather than a full ton bomb on Hamas leader Sheikh Yassin. Still, the refusal letter, coming from the military elite, is unprecedented, and proof that the Yom Kippur syndrome isn't dead after all. Yossi Yossi Klein Halevi is a contributing editor at TNR. Leon Wieseltier is the literary editor of TNR. tnr.com