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To: Kelvin Taylor who wrote (49416)10/8/2003 2:43:49 PM
From: Ron McKinnon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 53068
 
the entire article

Bears Can't Find Opening

By James J. Cramer
10/08/2003 02:15 PM EDT
Click here for more stories by James J. Cramer

Market Commentary BULLISH
The market used to let you in a lot more than it has lately.
This down-slightly day is discouraging to bears.
You can't establish new positions here.




The bears' real nightmare: a gentle selloff. What the bears need now more than ever is one of those back-to-back shellackings that allow people to get in at prices that truly make a difference. They need to get in to the market when Yahoo! (YHOO:Nasdaq - commentary - research) is at $34 or when Amazon (AMZN:Nasdaq - commentary - research) is at $48, and I don't right now see how that is going to happen.

But it is a hoped-for scenario if you are bearish for certain.


This down 50-60 stuff just doesn't cut it. You can't buy here and believe that you are getting bargains.

The market used to let you "in" a lot more than it has of late. That selloff we had last week, which seemed so ugly, didn't really produce a lot of price breakdowns.

The longer we stay up here, the longer we become ingrained to the idea that Wal-Mart (WMT:NYSE - commentary - research) isn't going back to $53 any time soon, that United Technologies (UTX:NYSE - commentary - research) will see $80 before it sees $70, that Caterpillar (CAT:NYSE - commentary - research) is simply in orbit and the most it will do is stay unchanged for a couple of days, not ever go back to $60. There becomes an inevitability to the prices.

That's why this down-slightly day after five up days is discouraging to the bears. You can't bring in anything here. You can't establish new positions here.

Frustrating, and you can sense the frustration