To: Ilaine who wrote (116450 ) 10/9/2003 3:25:39 PM From: Jacob Snyder Respond to of 281500 <How can you say HIV won't spread in Iran?> There is a very clear difference, very dramatic, between the HIV infection rates in Muslim and non-Muslim areas. There is no other logical explanation, between the different rates in non-Muslim Africa, compared to adjacent Muslim North Africa and SW Asia. HIV spread from Africa, mainly to the Americas and S. Asia. It didn't spread, except for tiny subgroups like IV drug users, into any Muslim areas of the world. It's a very clear pattern. The global epidemic now has a 20+ year track record, to follow it's spread. You can't explain the pattern of spread, except through the different cultural rules enforced by Islam. There are no other variables (ethnicity, wealth, anything) that explain where HIV has spread, and where it hasn't spread. If we were going to see any non-trivial infection rates in any Muslim nations, we'd have seen it by now. Even if the government of every Muslim nation were doing their best to hide it, there would be ways to tell: death rates higher in young adults and children than expected, use of certain drugs (which would have to imported, they aren't manufactured in Muslim nations, so Western drug companies would know), hospitalization rates for a group of infections associated with AIDS, profits at casket companies, a hundred other things that couldn't be hidden. Many African nations tried to hide their infection rates, denial has been the standard response in sub-Saharan Africa, but they all failed. The same applies in the U.S., to HIV rates among different populations. Wherever fundamentalist and authoritarian religions are strongest in the U.S., infection rates are low. Utah, and Mormon areas outside Utah, have low rates, for instance. I am not Mormon, and have little sympathy for their religion in general, but, as with Islam, I have to admit the facts: they have succeeded, where others have failed, at stopping the HIV epidemic. Yes, Shiites have their odd custom of temporary marriages. And the prevalence of prostitution, adultery, and homosexuality in Muslim nations is impossible to know, there isn't any good way to get statistics. But, with the long common border with sub-Saharan Africa, we'd have seen much higher infection rates if HIV was spreading that way in Muslim nations.