SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (29933)10/11/2003 5:00:35 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
us.cnn.com



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (29933)10/11/2003 5:34:03 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
A Further Look At The Criminal ChargesThat May Arise From the Plame Scandal, In Which a CIA Agent's Cover Was Blown

by John Dean

Published on Friday, October 10, 2003 by FindLaw

Slowly, and steadily, more information about the unauthorized disclosure of Valerie Plame's CIA identity, and the reasons for it, have become available. As it has, I've been examining, assimilating, and trying to understand it. I've also realized that the apparent criminal activity may be more widespread than it initially appeared. (In an earlier column, I offered a preliminary discussion of this issue.)

News accounts, principally from The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, The Nation, ABC News and NBC News have amplified on original reports. Information available from the White House has also added to the story. In light of this additional information, it is obvious that the Bush presidency has what might be politically diagnosed as a nasty subcutaneous problem - an ugly little sore that is festering and spreading.

It is too soon to know if this mess is malignant. Or terminal. Yet, this I do know: If mistreated, or untreated, this growing problem is going to become lethal for the Bush presidency. This is the Administration's first serious political scandal, and it is replete with legal problems and criminal implications.

To get a better understanding of this scandal, I've parsed the evidence publicly available as of now, in an effort to determine what is really going on - who did what, and why - and to look closer at the potential criminality involved.

The Apparent Honorable Motives Of Ambassador Wilson

Former ambassador Joseph Wilson is a man with extensive knowledge of Iraq. He served as charge d'affaires at the US Embassy in Baghdad during Desert Shield, and has spent two decades in public service relating to foreign affairs.

Based on his experience and judgment, Wilson began to warn others about the dangers of going to war with Iraq. Starting around April 2002, Wilson became a regular on CNN, Fox, MSNBC, ABC, NBC and CBS, urging that caution should be used, and alternatives to a war on Iraq considered.

Some have charged that Wilson is a political partisan - a stalking horse for Democrats. But the charges don't ring true. The Washington Times reported that Wilson said, "Neoconservatives and religious conservatives have hijacked this administration, and I consider myself on a personal mission to destroy both." But so what? I know hordes of Republicans who would support such as effort to take their party back from neocons and religious right - probably starting with George H.W. Bush, and his former advisers. This view hardly makes Wilson a pawn of the Democratic Party.

In my view, Wilson seems, instead, to be a supporter of the greater good. By March 3, 2003, when he wrote an essay for The Nation, he was mincing no words. He said that the Bush Administration's imminent war with Iraq was not about weapons of mass destruction, nor terrorism (since it would only result in more terrorism), nor about liberating oppressed people. Rather, he argued, the true objective of the war was an effort to impose a Pax Americana on the region. He concluded that because we had no business building empires, we had no business going to war.

Wilson was (and is) sincere, articulate, and knowledgeable, with a pleasing personality and manner. No doubt, his commentary was getting under the skin of the Bush White House. His refusal to embrace preemptive war with Iraq must have given pause to those who listened to him. Here was a man who had supported George H.W. Bush in the first Gulf war, and had heroically confronted Saddam's efforts at intimidation. And he was telling the world that we should not march to Baghdad, particularly alone and preemptively.

As The Weekly Standard, the voice of neoconservatism, which is regular reading at the Bush White House, notes, "Bush administration officials would have been well advised" to better understand Joe Wilson, "before getting drawn into a fight with him in July." And they argue that Wilson "loves the spotlight." So what? Who in public life - other than Dick Cheney - does not enjoy the spotlight?

The Tipping Point For The Administration: The Niger Hoax Revealed

The evidence is clear that the White House picked a fight with Wilson after he undercut the president's case for war.

On July 6, 2003 - in an OpEd column for The New York Times, and an extensive interview with The Washington Post - Wilson said that he had found no evidence that Iraq was purchasing uranium from Niger. (Wilson had been sent by the CIA to make such a determination seventeen months earlier, in February 2002.)

That put part of Bush's State of the Union in doubt (as I discussed in an earlier column) and forced the White House to retract at least sixteen words of it. The Administration said that the CIA was to blame. (Later, Bush also claimed that his sixteen words really were technically correct, because he said in his State of the Union that he was relying on British intelligence, not his own, but that point hardly quieted the scandal.).

To counter the revelation of bogus information in the State of the Union address, the Bush Administration also went after Wilson's credibility - claiming he was a partisan, that he had been sent by low level CIA officials, even suggesting that Wilson's report actually supported the President.

A Closer Look At The Plame Leak

Soon columnist Bob Novak entered the fray. Among other questions, he wondered why the Bush Administration had sent a former member of Clinton's National Security Council (head of the African section) to Niger in the first place.

A leak gave Novak his answer: Wilson's wife, a CIA weapons of mass destruction operative, asked for him to be sent there. This answer suggested nepotism; in fact, Wilson was paid only for his travel expenses - undertaking the assignment because he was qualified, and a willing public servant. It may have even suggested, to some, a sinister plot to make sure the Niger uranium claim was discredited.

In a July 14, 2003 column, Novak printed the leak, and named Valerie Plame Wilson - thus blowing her cover, and putting her and her husband in jeopardy. Novak confirmed that Wilson's mission to Niger was authorized at a low level in the CIA. He also reported that "Wilson never worked for the CIA, but his wife, Valerie Plame, is an Agency operative on weapons of mass destruction. Two senior administration officials told me Wilson's wife suggested sending him to Niger to investigate [the report that Iraq was purchasing uranium from Niger]." Novak says, "CIA officials did not regard Wilson's intelligence as definitive."

The same day, Time's July 21 issue hit the newsstands. It offered a far more detailed account of the preparation of the State of the Union - including an account of who was, and was not, aware of the problems with it. It also offered a more detailed story of Wilson's trip to Niger: "Wilson seemed like a wise choice for the mission. He had been a U.S. ambassador to Gabon and had actually been the last American to speak with Saddam before the first Gulf War. Wilson spent eight days sleuthing in Niger, meeting with current and former government officials and businessmen; he came away convinced that the allegations were untrue."

It appears that Time may have talked with Wilson off the record. It also spoke on the record with Lewis Libby in the vice president's office, and a member of the NSC staff. Time did not report anything about Valerie Plame Wilson - and certainly did not blow her cover.

Later, on July 17, 2003, in an online article entitled "War on Wilson?" Time did, however, mention that "some government officials have noted to Time in interviews, (as well as to syndicated columnist Robert Novak) that Wilson's wife, Valerie Plame, is a CIA official who monitors the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction." This article included an on-the-record interview with Wilson. He said that his wife was not the person who suggested he take the trip; rather, she merely asked if he would talk to her colleagues. The article discusses the White House attack machinery that is currently targeting Wilson.

The Leak Itself Becomes News, and the Administration Is Implicated

Other magazines and newspapers also were curious about how the leak of Valerie Plame Wilson's identity had occurred, and whether the Bush Administration had caused it, or at least was capitalizing on it.

On September 28, The Washington Post reported that according "a senior administration official," that "two top White House officials" who may or may not have been Novak's source had called at least "six journalists" to reveal the identity and occupation of Wilson's wife. The Post story notes, "It is rare for one Bush administration official to turn on another" - suggesting the Post's source was disgusted with the leaker.

In the October 13 Newsweek, Andrea Mitchell is quoted as saying, "I heard in the White House that people were touting the Novak column and that was the real story." Newsweek also reported that Wilson had received a call from Chris Matthews, of MSNBC's "Hardball," who told him, "I just got off the phone with Karl Rove, who said your wife was fair game."

In short, after the leak it certainly appears that the White House spread the word, further exploiting the leak.

The White House Need Not Have Leaked to Have Committed a Crime

Bush's press secretary Scott McClellan has chosen his words carefully in denying that anyone at the White House was involved with the leak. To remain credible, a press secretary cannot be caught in either a lie, or a serious misstatement based on ignorance.

McClellan's response reminded me of the Nixon Administration. Nixon's press secretary, Ron Zeigler, took the line that no one presently employed in his administration was involved in the Watergate break-in. That was technically correct, but only technically.

It is entirely possible that no one at the Bush "White House" or on the President's personal staff, was involved in the initial leak to Novak. It could have been someone at the National Security Council, which is related to the Bush White House but not part of it.

In fact, Novak wrote in one of his later columns, that the leak came from a person who was "no partisan gunslinger." That sounds like an NSC staffer to me. And as Newsweek also reported (you can count on Michael Isikoff to dig this stuff out), Valerie Plame's CIA identity was likely known to senior intelligence people on the NSC staff, for apparently one of them had worked with Ms. Plame at the CIA.

But even if the White House was not initially involved with the leak, it has exploited it. As a result, it may have opened itself to additional criminal charges under the federal conspiracy statute.

Why the Federal Conspiracy and Fraud Statutes May Apply Here

This elegantly simple law has snared countless people working for, or with, the federal government. Suppose a conspiracy is in progress. Even those who come in later, and who share in the purpose of the conspiracy, can become responsible for all that has gone on before they joined. They need not realize they are breaking the law; they need only have joined the conspiracy.

Most likely, in this instance the conspiracy would be a conspiracy to defraud - for the broad federal fraud statute, too, may apply here. If two federal government employees agree to undertake actions that are not within the scope of their employment, they can be found guilty of defrauding the U.S. by depriving it of the "faithful and honest services of its employee." It is difficult to imagine that President Bush is going to say he hired anyone to call reporters to wreak more havoc on Valerie Plame. Thus, anyone who did so - or helped another to do so - was acting outside the scope of his or her employment, and may be open to a fraud prosecution.

What counts as "fraud" under the statute? Simply put, "any conspiracy for the purpose of impairing, obstructing, or defeating the lawful function of any department of government." (Emphasis added.) If telephoning reporters to further destroy a CIA asset whose identity has been revealed, and whose safety is now in jeopardy, does not fit this description, I would be quite surprised.

If Newsweek is correct that Karl Rove declared Valerie Plame Wilson "fair game," then he should make sure he's got a good criminal lawyer, for he made need one. I've only suggested the most obvious criminal statute that might come into play for those who exploit the leak of a CIA asset's identity. There are others.

______________________________________________

John W. Dean, a FindLaw columnist, is a former counsel to the President.

Copyright © 1994-2003 FindLaw



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (29933)10/11/2003 6:13:09 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
Cleaning Up a Dirty Business

msnbc.com

<<...When the Enron scandal broke two years ago, optimists argued that we were dealing with only “a few bad apples.” Instead, it turns out, Enron was an example of the Cockroach Theory: if you see one cockroach, a whole nest is undoubtedly lurking nearby...>>



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (29933)10/11/2003 11:03:14 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
Cubs go up 3-1 in the play-off series against the Marlins...

Thank you Pittsburgh for Aramis Ramirez -- he is RED HOT. Ya gotta love his grand slam in the first inning...;-)

-s2@theCubsMayGoAllTheWayThisYear.com



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (29933)10/12/2003 10:48:29 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 89467
 
States Risk Bigger Losses to Fund Pensions
____________________________

By MARY WILLIAMS WALSH
The New York Times
Published: October 12, 2003

nytimes.com

Many state and local governments, facing ballooning pension promises to police officers, firefighters, teachers and other public employees, are rushing to sell bonds to cover the shortfall. That strategy has sometimes backfired in recent years, leaving taxpayers on the hook for even more debt.

States and municipalities are drawn to bond sales because they bring instant cash, easing budget pressures without further tax increases or reductions in retirement benefits.

But critics say the bonds could prove costly for some officials using them — and for the local taxpayers. The cities and states have to pay a fixed rate of interest on the bonds, and are essentially betting they can earn a higher rate of return by investing the proceeds in their pension funds.

But recent investment losses have already left some cities and states on the hook for a mounting debt, covering not just the retirement money for their workers but also the interest on the bonds. New Orleans, Pittsburgh and New Jersey have all placed losing bets in recent years.

Almost all pension funds have suffered sizable losses over the last three years. Government pension plans can dig themselves into deeper holes because, unlike corporate pension plans, they are not bound by federal requirements to maintain a certain level of funding. Some have no reserves at all: they just pay as they go, out of revenues.

With money tight, municipalities are desperately looking for financial help. This year, pension bonds will account for nearly 5 percent of all new municipal bonds, up from less than 1 percent in each of the last five years.

In the first nine months of this year, Illinois, Oregon's school boards, New Jersey's economic development authority and more than a dozen towns and counties sold $13.3 billion in bonds for pension purposes, almost as much as the total sold for pensions throughout the 1990's, according to Thomson Financial, a research firm.

More sales are coming. Wisconsin and Oregon each plan one before the end of this year, and Kansas has authorized a sale. West Virginia, home of the nation's weakest public pension plan — according to a study by Wilshire Associates, an investment advisory firm in Santa Monica, Calif., the state teacher's plan has only $1 for every $5 it owes — is fighting a court battle to sell $3.9 billion of the bonds without first holding a referendum. In California, a planned $1.9 billion bond sale for state employees' pensions contributed to the fiscal uproar that led to the recall of Gov. Gray Davis.

Other officials have weighed the risk and declined. "It's really tough to justify," said Robert C. North, the chief actuary for New York City's five employee pension plans. For years, Mr. North said, investment bankers have been urging the city to sell bonds to pay for its pension promises, and every time, he argues against it because he believes there are sounder and cheaper ways of financing pensions.

"On a risk-adjusted basis, the only people who can make money on this are the investment bankers," Mr. North said.

This risk is not always made sufficiently clear, critics say, by financial consultants who stand to make money from the bond sales.

New Orleans recently found out just how deep a hole it had dug for itself by selling bonds in late 2000 to finance the pensions of 820 retired firefighters. In May, city officials asked the manager of the bond sale, UBS Financial Services, for a progress report and were shocked to learn that the deal was expected to cost the city $270 million over time.

"We were thinking that we were going to make money on it," said Suzy Mague, fiscal officer for the New Orleans city council.

City officials say their rosy expectations were created by PaineWebber, the lead underwriter, when it described the bond transaction. (PaineWebber, which collected a $3 million fee for its role in the bond sale, has since merged with UBS.)

"It was basically presented to us as, `Look, this is really the way to go. Even if you use the worst estimates, you still break even,' " said Scott Shea, a former city council member who served on the budget committee at the time.

According to Ms. Mague, PaineWebber said New Orleans would probably have to pay about 8.2 percent interest on the bonds. PaineWebber predicted that the city could expect to earn 10.7 percent a year, on average, by investing the proceeds, mostly in stocks, a prediction based on returns from 1983 to 1999 — a period that encompassed the greatest bull market in history.

A spokeswoman for UBS said the company did include less favorable possibilities in its presentation, and did not suggest that 10.7 percent, or any other rate of return, was guaranteed.

Mr. Shea said he asked PaineWebber about risk. "I frankly don't recall anybody telling me, `Look, if the market tanks, you'll be in worse shape than if you had never sold the bonds,' " he said.

New Orleans issued bonds worth $171 million in December 2000, and almost immediately, the stock market tanked. Instead of returning 10.7 percent a year, the investments have suffered losses of about 3 percent a year.

By June, only $98 million was left — enough to pay the firefighters' pensions for just a few more years. When the money runs out, the city will still have to pay their pensions — about $17 million a year — but then it will also have to pay interest on the bonds of $16 million a year.

Pittsburgh, likewise, sold $294 million of bonds in 1996 and 1998 to buttress a skimpy pension plan for its workers. Before that, the city was spending about $21 million a year from its operating budget to keep the plan afloat.

After an initial spurt, the pension plan slumped again when stock prices fell. Today, Pittsburgh is paying $26 million a year to shore up the plan and to pay its bondholders. Two major credit-rating agencies recently said they were reviewing Pittsburgh and might lower its rating because of its heavy indebtedness.

New Jersey had similar results after issuing $2.8 billion of bonds in 1997. The sale was the largest of its kind then and made headlines by generating $53 million in fees for various securities and law firms.

In the first two years, the transaction looked good. New Jersey earned more than double the break-even amount. Then the markets turned. As of June, the pension plan's five-year average return was 1.9 percent, nowhere near enough to cover the pension costs and bond interest, which this year totaled $890 million.

"This money didn't build a road or a bridge, but we still have to pay it," John E. McCormac, the state treasurer of New Jersey said.

Officials may look past unhappy outcomes like these in part because market conditions have improved. Stocks are rising. Interest rates are very low, and officials see an opportunity to lock in debt at historically attractive rates.

Even Orange County in California is considering an issue, despite lingering concerns over its bankruptcy proceedings in 1994.

The county got into trouble after taking on undue investment risk, something critics of the new issues fear will happen again as states reach for higher returns. New Jersey, for example, has restricted pension investments to stocks and bonds, but is reviewing its portfolio and whether to hire an independent money manager, as other states do.

The state's auditor has recommended investing a small amount in alternative investments, perhaps real estate, venture capital or other instruments that may provide greater returns, at greater risk.. Some state employees oppose the change, saying the risks are too great.

Their view is supported by some government finance specialists and academics, who argue that speculative investments, even stocks, are unsuitable in pension funds. They say that people retire on predictable schedules, and it is safest to invest conservatively, in bonds that will mature when people need the money.

Depending on market conditions, though, the current crop of bonds could pay off handsomely for the governments issuing them.

An Illinois official says that the state's $10 billion bond issue was based on an assumption that the money would earn 8 percent to 8.5 percent annually. Illinois will pay 5.07 percent interest on the bonds. "As long as the actuaries are right," said a spokeswoman for the state budget bureau, "we should be safe."



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (29933)10/12/2003 12:13:00 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 89467
 
Donald Coxe, chief strategist at Chicago-based Harris Investment Management, says the U.S. dollar still has a long way to fall.

theglobeandmail.com