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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (66703)10/13/2003 7:16:41 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
It's momentum. Message 19397466
And here is the rub, while we do have up momentum the US stock market as
good as it may look is bringing up the rear..
Every single WEB traded has gone up faster than our market,, every one has
beat us.
thanx to the falling dollar, now if you didn't live in the U.S. American
stocks would not look like hot runners..in fact on an average they look
38% cheaper to foreigners than they do to us.
To some extent perhaps they even look like bargains to foreign investors
being their own stocks have gone up so much.
----
While the News media makes out that the cheap dollar is good,
they sure don't look forward..take crude oil, it's back up over
$30..in fact over $31 now..while it's costing us more it's
getting cheaper for every one else..if this keeps up we wind
up becoming like some 3rd world country, inflation has
to set in, and interest rates will have to climb, & the fed
be dammed..
---
For how long we live in dream world , before reality sets
in no one knows..Dow 10000 can easily be made with a
falling dollar, maybe 11000, of course the next big leg down will wake
every one up, when it don't find any support.
----
ME I'm scared already..even though I see the Up momentum
and lack of selling pressure, I may not be looking when
the shit hit's the fan; meanwhile I have a bid in under
the qqq at 33.50..but I wouldn't do that if I didn't have
Nov 35 puts..
---
I never expected to make a profit on the 35 Oct calls..
except by using them to short..but with only 4 days
left on them and me likely to go out I let em go
( at a profit to my surprise ) add that to the 2 shorts
I got out of them, well I made up for the set back
they gave me With that Gap up Friday a week ago..
or was it Thusday ?
Any way that bigger Gap up caught me being
short over night and with out insurance..
since then I've made it up & have been more carefull..
----
Jim