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Non-Tech : Approach of Armageddon -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tech Master who wrote (2)10/14/2003 3:05:24 PM
From: Original Mad Dog  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95
 
I have been maintaining all along that the Cubs had a good chance to overachieve in the playoffs, and they have. My reasoning was that two very strong pitchers can carry you pretty far in the postseason (see 87 Twins and many other examples).

Tonight, however, worries me. The weather here in Chicago has turned wet, and is about to turn cold and nasty. This happens every October, usually right after a week to ten days of glorious weather like we just had. Tonight for the game the rain will probably have stopped, though the outfield may remain wet, and more importantly, it will be in the low 50's with a howling Northwest wind gusting up to 30 mph. A Northwest wind will blow in from the left field corner, though if it is more West than North it might blow out towards right field. More importantly, the cold combined with the wind makes life difficult for all batters.

The conventional wisdom is that this favors the Cubs over the warm weather heavily Hispanic Marlins, but I don't agree. The Cubs are pitching their best in Prior, while the Marlins are pitching a marginal starter who has been hot recently. If neither team can hit much, that neutralizes the Cubs pitching advantage quite a bit, and may make the game turn on small ball.... bunt singles, stolen bases, sacrifices. The Marlins are better than the Cubs at that, especially with Pierre.

The Red Sox sure don't look like they should win this series, but there they are. If they don't win tonight, they are toast, because they are facing a huge pitching mismatch in Game 6. I also think that Pedro is not sound right now (he was hanging breaking pitches one after another on Saturday before he started headhunting). They might be better off if they get to Game 7 pitching Wakefield on 2 days rest. A knuckleballer might be able to pull that off (remember Wilbur Wood?).

One hour til the games begin anew.....