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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Richard S who wrote (476455)10/16/2003 12:39:58 AM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 769667
 
Dean is not leading by 13% in New Hampshire. Quit exaggerating. It's 10% down from 21% and falling. Because he's a Yankee fan it will fall even more this week. Because he's thw weakest candidate against Bush it will fall even more by primary time. Kerry just got another big endorsement in New Hampshire this week. He will make sure Dean is taken down even further. Like the epic Weld-Kery race, Kerry will fight back and be the comeback kid. He has a lot of firepower on his side, including NH favorites John McCain and Jean Shaheen.



To: Richard S who wrote (476455)10/16/2003 12:50:54 AM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769667
 
October 1999 New Hampshire poll:

On the GOP side, the Boston Globe/WBZ-TV poll of New Hampshire GOP voters shows frontrunner George W. Bush maintaining a comfortable lead. Bush placed first with 44%, followed by Elizabeth Dole at 14% and John McCain
at 12%.

* Notice that six months before a primary the polls mean little. Bush led by 32% and McCain beat him. Kerry has chopped the September Dean lead in half already and that's just the beginning. If Dean loses NH, he's finished. If Kerry loses it, he's still in. But even if Dean wins NH, he will not be nominated. Not a single major party power (with delegates in hand) will endorse Dean. San would have to get more than 45% of the total votes to get nominated. Currently he places a weak second to Clark nationally.
The real reason he wont win is that everyone in the know realizes that Dean is the worst candidate to run against Bush. Dukakis II or Paul Tsongas II. Too liberal, too weak on defense and too much taxes.