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To: Dan B. who wrote (12676)10/17/2003 2:13:47 AM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 793608
 
Some very interesting numbers. The Democratic voters aren't as radical as some of the candidates and their supporters. Democratic voters said electability was more important.
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washingtonpost.com
Voters Describe Ideal Nominee
Democrats in Poll Want a Candidate Who Backed Iraq War

By Dan Balz
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, October 17, 2003; Page A09

Majorities of likely Democratic voters in three states with early primaries or caucuses say they prefer a presidential nominee who supported military action against Iraq but criticized President Bush for failing to assemble international support over a candidate who opposed military action from the beginning, according to new polls conducted by the liberal Democracy Corps.

The polls, taken in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, also show a Democratic electorate sharply divided over Bush's request for $87 billion to fund military and reconstruction efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan over the next year. Congress is preparing to vote on the president's request this week.

The findings in the new polls suggest that the divisions over Iraq within the party are less clear-cut than some strategists and candidates believe, or that support for U.S. action to remove former Iraqi president Saddam Hussein from power is a serious handicap in the battle for the Democratic nomination.

Democrats surveyed in the three states also listed foreign policy and national security experience as the most important attribute they are looking for in selecting a nominee. They rated that characteristic over such other choices as experience in Congress, being a decorated combat veteran, being a Washington outsider or having a blue-collar background.

The polls, conducted by Democrat Stan Greenberg, surveyed 500 likely Democratic voters Oct. 2-13 in each of the three states. Democracy Corps is an organization that helps Democratic candidates and elected officials develop their message to voters.

Democratic voters in the three states are divided over their choices for the nomination. In Iowa, Rep. Richard A. Gephardt (Mo.) and former Vermont governor Howard Dean were running roughly even with each other (27 percent to 26 percent). Sen. John F. Kerry (Mass.) was the only other Democrat to hit double digits in that state (16 percent).

In New Hampshire, Dean held a solid lead over Kerry (38 percent to 21 percent), with retired Gen. Wesley K. Clark the only other Democrat in double digits (11 percent). In South Carolina, Sen. John Edwards (N.C.) registered 14 percent, but with five other Democrats between 10 percent and 13 percent, the race there appears mostly unformed.

Dean's candidacy gained support and energy through his strong opposition to the war in Iraq, but the polls show that his position is favored by a minority of likely voters in each of the three states. In Iowa, 37 percent of the likely caucus attendees said they preferred a candidate who had always opposed the war; 59 percent said they preferred someone who backed ousting Hussein but also criticized Bush's approach.

New Hampshire voters were nearly identical in their views. In South Carolina, the division was less significant, with 41 percent saying they preferred someone consistently opposed to the war and 50 percent saying they wanted a critic of Bush who also supported action against Hussein.

"They're not looking for a Johnny One-Note who has passed a litmus test on Iraq as the sole criterion for selecting a candidate," Greenberg said, adding that many Democrats "want someone with a more nuanced position on Iraq than simply opposition from Day One -- and that includes a fair number of Dean voters."

In all three states, likely Democratic voters said they preferred a nominee who supports the party's core values and stands up to Bush rather than one who appeals more broadly to independents. Asked whether it was more important to nominate a candidate who stands up for Democratic Party values or one who has the best chance of defeating Bush, Iowa and New Hampshire Democratic voters said electability was more important.

In South Carolina, where African American voters make up more than 40 percent of the likely primary electorate, voters narrowly favored someone who stands up for the party's core issues.
washingtonpost.com