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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: chowder who wrote (26471)10/19/2003 9:07:56 AM
From: Aggie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206085
 
dabum3,

Welcome back. I can't tell you the specifics of SSL, it looks like they're reasonably diversified, but in general, companies that have invested in Fischer-Tropsch synthetic fuels are not profitable until the cost of crude is pretty high. Another such company is Syntroleum - they've been struggling for years to find the backing for a small commercial-sized plant to prove the viability of the process. Even with crude trading north of $31, the economics are pretty shaky.

Contrast that to LNG, where 20-year forward contracts are the norm in order to justify the risk of the investment (in the billions) - all profitable at Henry hub above around $2.75

Why spend the money to turn gas to liquid fuel, a commodity with lots of competition, when you can lock in a 20 contract at current prices and make a good return? The only thing synthetic fuels have going for them is their low sulphur content - not something that is generally regulated too stiffly.

I looked at Syntroleum for a while, asked some questions of my compadres in the downstream sectors and moved on.

<OT> Looks like the BoSox couldn't shake their destiny, eh? Wait 'till next year..

Regards to All,

Aggie



To: chowder who wrote (26471)10/19/2003 3:40:35 PM
From: Mark Adams  Respond to of 206085
 
I originally happened on Sasol a couple of years ago, when searching the net turned up a paper on gold catalysts.

Their exposure in GTL (doing a project in/for Quatar?) and clean coal technology caught my eye, and I dipped my toes in a time or two for small profits. That said, I haven't followed the company as closely as I probably should, and currently have no position in their stock.

a reference on GTL, for the peanut gallery
dieselnet.com