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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (39818)10/20/2003 1:01:56 AM
From: smolejv@gmx.net  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Here's age distributions as per now and predicted for 2030

textnart.de

re US (again from SZ):

... USA on the other hand can relatively optimistically look into the future. On the one hand they are the only industrialized country with a growing population, This is not just due to child-rich minorities. Even white US citizens bring on the average more children into the world than German women. On the other hand the young immigrants flowing massively into the country guarrantee that the American population pyramid stands on a broad base.



To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (39818)10/20/2003 5:44:11 AM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
<What jumps out at me is that a population explosion seems to be in the offing for the US circa 2050..>

KC, 2050 is 47 years away. That's they same as from 1956 to now. No predictions for such a lengthy period will bear any relationship to reality. Certainly not for such a human mind determined thing as a population explosion.

What if women have decided by then that there's no need for more humans and almost none of them are having children? They can decide that. Young people decided to like gangsta rap and body piercing. If they can think those are good ideas, they can think anything is a good idea. Or, they might decide that babies are the ultimate reality and go nuts breeding like bunnies.

Having babies is nearly always a decision these days, not a consequence of being randy.

Mqurice