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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Snowshoe who wrote (39828)	10/20/2003 1:52:34 AM
From: elmatador	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74559

That's an easy one. The Earth's population has always been at about one billion. We've got a spike due to science discoveries which made population balloon. Now it will shrink back to its 1 billion again. A few pockets of livable places. No need to live in inhospitable places, like deserts, jungles and piled up on top of each other. The trend is there. It will peak and then slowly retrocede. There are a few livable places: Europe and the US, that can be interesting as people destinations as the population gets closer to peaking. But they have to act fast while they still can to preserve their economic standing before it is too late and instead of having a population going to where capital is, capital moves to where population is. :Like China is showing. People with real brains can do this kind of extrapolation and think in terms of 500 years in advance without resorting to a few statistics. People with less than real brains- today I am very charitable- need the number of the past hundred years to believe. Since there are no numbers for the next 500 years, they think there's no reality for them to believe. Hence it is not going to happen.

To: Snowshoe who wrote (39828)	10/20/2003 8:14:53 AM
From: pezz	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Snow, "it's hopeless to argue with Elmat about the population thing. People like him won't be satisfied until the Earth is expanding at the speed of light due to the exponential increase in the mass of human bodies." &^)

To: Snowshoe who wrote (39828)	10/20/2003 10:19:52 AM
From: AC Flyer	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Snowshoe: The "Population Bomb" idea, courtesy Paul Ehrlich, has been thoroughly discredited. Even PBS has given up on it, :) pbs.org Most countries now have declining fertility, with many first world countries now reproducing below the replacement rate. Italy is the poster child for this trend with 1.1 births per couple. (Better visit Rome soon, or there'll be no-one to show you around). Global population will likely peak sometime towards the end of this century at less than 10 billion and decline from there. newscientist.com Here's an excellent individual effort: siue.edu And here's some really significant global population science. Where do we get these people? ourworld.compuserve.com