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Strategies & Market Trends : Jim's Nasdaq100 Special as a basket. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Yogizuna who wrote (2019)10/22/2003 12:00:57 AM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2103
 
Yogi you made me go back and check the 16 months from Feb 2001
to May 2002...and your right..it's a lot easier to catch dips in an
up market..my batting average in the Bear Market was only 61%
winners on the qqq longs and had some big losers , still I did
come out 2.4K to the good on the longs.
With the shorts I didn't play as hard and had 70% winners
but only made 1.9K..
For a total of 4.3K to the good on the QQQ..
The rub is the amount of time I put in trying to beat
the market it just don't seem worth the trouble.
Another rub is I had not cured myself of picking stocks
and lost almost twice as much as I made on the QQQ
trying to pick stocks.
Again the saving grace was having the guts to buy
stocks last Oct..( which I have sold off all but two )
----
Damm that was a lot of trading ( for me ) being I had
the boat job too.., and I'm really asking myself
if it was worth the extra work.
----
On the other hand If I had done a buy and hold
I would have been busted out of stocks by May
2002..
----
Had I put the whole batch in bonds I would not have
made as much , but I would not have had the worry and
the bonds would have made 2/3rds to 3/4ths of what I did
trading my ass off.. and I would not have had
the loss on the stocks I picked, so with that I would
have come out ahead 100% in bonds.
---
Well it was a lot of fun..but I'm getting a little old
to be having all that much fun..
Looks Like I'll be going bonds , and IF I live long
enough to see another real big dip and another
extremely high VIX , then I'll jump back into
some stocks..
---
Somehow I really thought I was doing better
my tax man said I did real good compared to most
of his clients, shit they must have done real
bad.

I look at SI and seem to see so many people who
sound like they are getting rich. But I'm doubting
most of it now, damm I feel I can trade about
as good as the next person , perhaps better
than average, and I'm not doing shit for the amount
of trading and work involved..
----
Even my RSI thingy makes me keep 50K in cash
when I'm not long so I can get long./ or short.and that 50K
could be pulling in almost 5% right now..
It would have been making over 7% had I put it
to bonds in 2001..
----
Maybe this market goes to the sky, but I see to much
wrong to believe it..
In the 32 months I just looked at I short term traded
over a Million Dollars..and made just a tad
over 10K..I lost that much on stock picks during
the first half of that..so again it was only the
big dip and high vix that set me up to come
out ahead.
Where were all the Bulls back then ??
-----
Jim

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