To: John Carragher who wrote (13337 ) 10/21/2003 7:07:21 PM From: LindyBill Respond to of 793725 The "OJ" Effect - Washington Wrap _________________________________ The FBI Is Your Friend: Turns out that the FBI investigation into corruption in Philly politics may actually be helping incumbent Mayor John Street’s reelection campaign. Two weeks ago, the FBI launched the investigation, confiscating documents and tapping the Mayor’s phone. But far from hurting his chances in the midst of a tight re-election battle with Sam Katz, the first post-investigation poll by Temple University/CBS3/KYW-AM shows that Street has pulled ahead of Katz for the first time in the race, 48 to 41 percent. One month ago, Katz led Street by 46 to 40 percent. Why the surge? It appears that Street is capitalizing on African American voters’ distrust of the FBI and using the investigation to portray himself as a victim under attack from greater forces. As the AP reports, "Philadelphia’s second black mayor has sought to cast himself as a man being persecuted because of his race, and the message appears to be resonating with black voters." That explanation is borne out in the new poll: Street’s support among black voters is up 14 percent, from 70 percent last month to 84 percent last week. As Berwood Yost, director of the Floyd Institute’s Center for Public Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College, tells AP, "[Street’s] greatest weakness going into this was a lack of enthusiasm among his base, which is African Americans and Democrats. The scandal has re-energized that base." The positive bounce from an FBI investigation is being dubbed by some as the "Marion Barry Factor." According to the Christian Science Monitor, Street’s rebound is reminiscent of Marion Barry’s re-election as mayor of Washington, D.C. following his conviction on drug possession charges. In Philadelphia, Mayor Street seems to be using the political playbook designed by Mayor Barry: an offensive game that combines race and charges that larger forces are trying to manipulate the election. The AP says that like Barry, Street is using “race, and unconfirmed charges that the Ashcroft Justice Department is trying to manipulate the election” (AP) to help draw support. Black voters have rallied around Street, like they did for Barry when they feel that black politicians are being “harassed” by greater powers.cbsnews.com