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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Richard S who wrote (479706)	10/22/2003 1:57:32 PM
From: American Spirit	Respond to of 769667

Dean Holds 6% Lead Over Kerry in newest N.H. Poll Tuesday, Oct. 21, 2003 (*polled 3-4 days after yours) BOSTON -- Democratic presidential hopeful Howard Dean leads rival John Kerry in New Hampshire, according to a new poll. Dean, the former Vermont governor, leads Kerry by 6 percentage points in the survey by Suffolk University for WDHD-TV, a slightly smaller margin from a September poll. Dean was favored by 25 percent while Kerry, the Massachusetts senator, was backed by 19 percent. Dean led 26 percent to 17 percent last month. In this poll, Kerry's favorable rating increased from 58 percent in late September to 66 percent in mid-October. Almost that many, 60 percent, viewed Dean favorably. Wesley Clark was at 11 percent, Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman at 8 percent, Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt at 7 percent, and North Carolina Sen. John Edwards at 4 percent. Carol Moseley Braun was at 1 percent, along with Ohio Rep. Dennis Kucinich. Al Sharpton was at 0 percent. About 23 percent in the poll were undecided. The poll was conducted Oct. 17-19 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points. The 400 voters polled were Democrats or independents who said they were likely to vote in the Jan. 27 Democratic primary. Recent polls by other organizations have shown Dean with a double-digit lead.

To: Richard S who wrote (479706)	10/23/2003 8:45:51 PM
From: American Spirit	Respond to of 769667

See this? What did I tell you? Kerry rebounding in the polls By Steven Thomma Knight Ridder Newspapers New polls show the Massachusetts senator has started gaining on former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean in New Hampshire, the site of the nation's first primary in January and a critical test for the two men from neighboring states. Dean holds the lead, but he no longer has the commanding margin he built over the summer against a faltering Kerry campaign. Kerry still has challenges, to be sure, notably explaining his Senate vote to authorize war in Iraq, a vote unpopular with many anti-war Democrats who've been drawn to Dean and his fervent anti-war message. But Kerry has stopped his slide in the polls and is starting to win back some New Hampshire voters. Aides and analysts credit three reasons: He rolled out an earlier-than-expected endorsement from former Gov. Jeanne Shaheen, is spending far more time in the state and is sharpening his often obtuse speaking style. "He's rebounding," said David Paleologos, a political scientist at Suffolk University and the director of a new poll that shows Kerry closing to within six percentage points of Dean from an earlier gap of nine percentage points. The poll had an almost five-point margin of error but confirmed a trend suggested in other surveys by the news media and the Kerry campaign. "Kerry has found his legs again," agreed independent pollster John Zogby, who at one point during the summer found Kerry trailing Dean by 21 percentage points before closing to 10. "Whether he can come all the way back, I don't know." Kerry needs to do well in New Hampshire. If he loses there - where he started as the most familiar face in the race, thanks to years of Kerry ads on Boston television beamed into heavily populated southern New Hampshire - Kerry would be hard-pressed to explain why those who knew him best chose someone else. His aides argue that Dean is the one who should be expected to win New Hampshire and punished for anything less. They say Dean is also from next door, is equally well known and is free to spend more time campaigning because he is out of office. They add that Kerry is a national candidate and contend that strong showings later in places such as South Carolina would overcome a second-place finish in New Hampshire. Kerry has many fans in New Hampshire. They like his war record in Vietnam, his long experience in the Senate and his easy command of national and international issues. Many think he's the party's strongest candidate to face President Bush in the general election. "He's got the best chance to beat Bush," said vinyl-window salesman Dan Calegari as he walked with Kerry along a downtown Manchester street. "He's got more experience. He can speak off the cuff about serious issues. People here respond to that." "Kerry is a more complete candidate," said Paul Veritte, a retired professor from Lee, N.H., after watching Kerry give an environmental speech recently in Durham. Yet Kerry has a ways to go to close the sale, even among many who like him. After watching Kerry at a recent forum on children, university administrator Regina Smick-Attisano said she likes Kerry and Dean. Asked about Kerry, she hesitated and said she liked his values. Asked about Dean, she said she would prefer someone from outside Washington, liked his health care plan and agreed with his opposition to the war in Iraq. "I don't think we should be there," she said. New Hampshire Democrats oppose the war in Iraq by a margin of about 3-2, according to a recent poll by the University of New Hampshire. Kerry has been trying to appeal to both sides. He voted last year to authorize the war, but he's been critical of the administration's approach to Iraq ever since. "They're trying to find the right tone that balances both sides," said Mark Wrighton, a political scientist at the University of New Hampshire. That's cost Kerry thus far, as many of the Democrats who get involved early tend to be those most energized - and in this campaign that tends to be people angry about the war. His stance on Iraq could help later because New Hampshire independents support the war by a margin of better than 2-1 and independents are allowed to vote in the state's primary. Then the primary calendar turns to other states, such as South Carolina, where Democrats often are more hawkish. Kerry also is working, with some success, to speak more concisely. A veteran of sometimes mind-numbing debates in the Senate, Kerry is prone to answering questions with long explanations of his thinking process. It is as if he were asked for the time and explained how a clock works. Watching a recent forum in Dearborn, Mich., Zogby said he found Kerry a changed man. "He's clear, focused, concise," the New York-based pollster said. "He's not the vague, nuanced, on-the-one-hand-on-the-other-hand guy any more." Kerry campaign manager Jim Jordan agreed that his candidate is getting better, while refusing to concede that Kerry was ever bad. "He has found his groove as a candidate," said Jordan. "He's clearly caught the rhythm of this. He has gotten to be much tighter. The results show." For more on the Kerry campaign, visit www.johnkerry.com