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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Richard S who wrote (479709)10/22/2003 2:08:36 PM
From: American Spirit  Respond to of 769667
 
Dean has never led any national polls. He peaked in August and was running ahead in Iowa and 21% up in NH. Now he has dropped back to a single digit lead in NH and Gephardt leads in Iowa. Kerry is waiting to knock him out. Even if Kerry just ties Dean, it will be a huge blow to Dean. desan can only win if he blows everyone away, and he won't.

Dean will challenge for the nomination, but he has huge handicaps he'll be unable to overcome. The party admires his fundraising abilities from small contributors, but they also remember Dukakis, another little guy with zero military experience from a very liberal state calling for raising taxes. Dean is the Eugene McCarthy, Bill Bradley, Paul Tsongas, Ralph Nader of 2004. He inspires liberal idealists but he's easy prey for the Republicans, and as Dukakis found out, it doesn't matter who you run with is the running mate is your opposite. Also remember, all the other major candidates will endorse Kerry or Clark in the end. None of them want Dean whom they see as handing Bush re-election. Not a single party leader has stood up and said Dean could win. Only liberal activists of the Paul Wellstone variety.

Dean would make a good Secretary of Health and Human Services. That's about it. Or maybe he can run for Senator and get some national experience.