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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (117477)	10/23/2003 6:27:12 AM
From: Condor	Respond to of 281500

The surest recipe for a revolt is a long period of rising prosperity accompanied by rising expectations, which are then thwarted by some reversal. Sounds like todays market open.

To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (117477)	10/23/2003 11:19:25 AM
From: Jacob Snyder	Respond to of 281500

I hadn't thought of it that way, but you're right. Well said: <The surest recipe for a revolt is a long period of rising prosperity accompanied by rising expectations, which are then thwarted by some reversal. Almost never do the poor lead the revolt; some member of the aristocracy or middle class leads the revolt and gives color to its ideology.> Yes, the leadership always comes from the literate mid/upper classes, even when the rank and file comes from the lowest classes. But, to be successful, the leadership better be saying things that make sense to the rank and file. It's not the absolute level of poverty (or anger, or humiliation), it's the distance between what is and what is expected. Revolt doesn't happen, no matter what else is happening, when there is steadily rising material prosperity (without any serious or prolonged reversals). Thwarted economic expectations is a necessary (but not sufficient) condition for revolt.