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Strategies & Market Trends : Natural Resource Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jimsioi who wrote (2479)10/24/2003 7:23:40 PM
From: isopatch  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 108726
 
Jims. PPT fingerprints all over that prop job.

Even with that they couldn't go out at the hi for the day.

quotes.ino.com

Bounced off overhead resistance and faded.

Well I'm outta here for the weekend. Cya'll Monday.

Iso



To: jimsioi who wrote (2479)10/26/2003 11:15:06 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 108726
 
clear uptrending bullish Head & Shoulder on TENS yield
an upward bias on the yield over the last year
such a pattern is far more bullish on rates than one with a flat neckline

stockcharts.com[h,a]waclyyay[df][pb50!d20,2!f][vc60][iUb14!Uh15,5,5]&pref=G

Head impulse low in June at 3.1%
low points in Oct2002, March2003, Sept2003
neckline at about 4.3% on the tilted channel (at time of low)
indicates about a 1.2% potential

target is 4.3% + 1.2% = 5.5%

actually, given the uptrending bias on the neckline, one could argue that the target is 5.5% but with an upward time trend bias
from October 2002 to October 2003, we have an uptrend from 3.5% to 4.1%
this indicates a monthly factor of 0.05% (5 bpt)
so, for instance, if the breakout occurs in six months, we might see a new target of 5.5% + 0.3% = 5.8%

THIS IS A SCARY CHART
a return to 5.8% in six months would take us back to the older 5.5% in April 2002, plus the uptrending monthly factor
THAT WOULD SET US UP FOR A NEW MONSTER HEAD & SHOULDER BULL PATTERN

a breakout will crush the nuts of the Bond rallies, all of them
Treasurys, Agencies, Corporates
and deliver real estate its Tipping Blow
Refinances are already dead

LONG LIVE GOLD

/ jim

p.s. recall bullish on rates is bearish on bonds
(for other readers)