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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (5789)10/25/2003 12:09:10 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10965
 
I think Mr. Zogby is jumping to conclusions about General Clark -- a very new candidate with a great deal of potential.

Mr. Bush and his GOP defenders have their hands full...fyi...

Battle looms over whether Iraq threat was oversold

globeandmail.com

Battle looms over whether Iraq threat was oversold
By PAUL KORING
From Saturday's Globe and Mail
BREAKING NEWS
Oct. 25, 2003

Washington — A bitter partisan battle is brewing over where to lay the blame for grossly misjudging the threat posed by Saddam Hussein's Iraq: with the White House or with the spies.

At stake is whether the U.S. public, Congress and allies abroad were misled into backing U.S. President George W. Bush's decision to wage war on Iraq, as Democratic presidential contenders contend.

The opening salvos were fired this week when an early draft of a Senate Intelligence Committee report was leaked to The Washington Post. That draft, apparently prepared by staff under the control of the Republican chairman, fingers the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency and other security authorities, faulting them for overstating both the threat of weapons of mass destruction and Baghdad's links with terrorism.

Those preparing the report were taken aback at how key intelligence documents — especially the October 2002 National Intelligence Estimate — relied on disputed information or circumstantial and single-source evidence, Republican and Democratic sources told the Post.

Senior Democrat senators, who believe Mr. Bush bears the burden of responsibility rather than the intelligence agencies, fired back yesterday.

"All I can tell you is that there is no report," said Senator John Rockefeller, a West Virginia Democrat, who vowed to force the committee to examine the Bush administration's use, interpretation and presentation of intelligence reports.

In the wake of the leaked draft, which lays the blame squarely on intelligence agencies and in effect exonerates the President, Mr. Rockefeller, the committee's vice-chairman, denounced any rush to judgment. "I'm not going to characterize it as a whitewash," he said. "I'm going to characterize it as a very incomplete matter."

Kansas Republican Pat Roberts, who chairs the intelligence committee, has said he wants the report completed quickly and clearly expects it to blame the CIA and other intelligence agencies.

"The executive was ill served by the intelligence community," he said yesterday, characterizing their work as sloppy and inconclusive.

Getting the report out quickly, and long before the presidential finger-pointing begins in earnest, appeals to Republicans. So does absolving the White House of blame.

"It's my belief that what he [Mr. Roberts] wants to do is to lay all of this out on the intelligence community and never get to any other branches of government," Mr. Rockefeller said yesterday.

Democrats want to delay the report at least until the spring, after the special team looking for Iraqi nuclear, germ and poison-gas-warfare programs makes its findings known. So far no such weapons have been found.

That would relaunch the issue of whether Mr. Bush deliberately overstated the case against Iraq in the middle of his re-election campaign.

A procedural battle is also looming inside the committee. Although its Republican chairman and majority give the President's party considerable power to direct staff and focus the investigation, Senate rules accord the minority Democrats a number of options.

"We're going to get this one way or the other," Mr. Rockefeller said yesterday, referring to Democrat determination to probe whether the White House pressured the intelligence community to shape its assessment.

"If the majority declines to put the executive branch at risk," he added, "then they are going to have a very difficult minority to deal with."



To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (5789)10/25/2003 12:39:44 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10965
 
'Winning Modern Wars': Wesley K. Clark's Warpath

______________________________

By MAX FRANKEL
The New York Times Sunday Book Review
Published: October 26, 2003
nytimes.com

In the front of his austere black-and-white book jacket, Gen. Wesley K. Clark is presented as the former supreme allied commander in Europe and the author of what purports to be an expert analysis of the war in Iraq. But on the book's back side, you will find a colorful full-page poster of a handsome civilian with a winning smile and the unmistakable ambition to commit more than military history.

''Winning Modern Wars'' turns out to be aptly wrapped. For its 200 pages, many of them updated just a month ago, are obviously designed to abet the swift transformation of a once embittered warrior and armchair television analyst into a hard-driving, platitudinous candidate for president.

That jacket speaks louder than the coy words with which Clark denies any partisan purpose. He allows that while writing he heard ''continuing speculation about whether I might engage in some manner'' -- sic! -- ''in the 2004 election.'' But that ''looming decision had no bearing on my analysis.'' His only aim, he insists, is to give voice to the soldiers ''far from home, in an uncertain mission,'' because they ''cannot and should not speak for themselves.''

Well, those soldiers and their fellow citizens can vote. And the general cannot camouflage the partisan thrust of his polemic. His deft review of the battlefield tactics that won Baghdad in less than a month is merely the preface to a bitter, global indictment of George W. Bush. The president and his administration are condemned for recklessly squandering a brilliant military performance on the wrong war at the worst possible time, diverting resources and talent from the pursuit of Al Qaeda, neglecting urgent domestic needs and dissipating the post-9/11 sympathy and support of most of the world.

No credit even for the one thing that Clark admires about the American performance in Iraq. He recounts with relish the ''synchronization of high-tech airpower with agile ground maneuvers'' -- how the rapid advance of armor forced Iraqi units to move and expose themselves to air and rocket attacks, which in turn facilitated more ground advances. But ''the irony is that the vision of . . . a high-tech battlefield, viewed through an array of sensors, with battles fought and won by precision strikes and a slimmer ground component -- which the Bush administration, and especially Donald Rumsfeld, have trumpeted, is largely a reality that they inherited when they took office in 2001.''

In any case, the war in Iraq, though generally well fought, was a costly diversion. ''Taking down Saddam became a hobbyhorse'' for the group around Rumsfeld even before they achieved authority over the Pentagon. And they exploited 9/11 as ''a gift-wrapped opportunity'' to try to ''clean up the Middle East.'' So instead of concentrating on a ''knockout blow'' against Al Qaeda, they turned the focus to Iraq and let the terrorists scatter from Afghanistan.

As portrayed by Clark, the attack on Saddam Hussein -- without evidence to link him to Al Qaeda -- was not only wrong but deeply cynical. It bespoke a cold war mind-set of assigning terrorists a state sponsor, a ''face'' that could be more easily attacked. ''It was almost certain to be successful. It emphasized U.S. military strengths and built on a decade of preparation for a refight of the gulf war.''

The benefit of toppling Hussein is only faintly acknowledged: ''All else being equal the region and the Iraqi people were all better off with Saddam gone. But the U.S. actions against old adversaries like Saddam have costs and consequences that may still leave us far short of our objectives of winning the war on terror -- or, in themselves, may actually detract from our larger efforts.'' (Don't be fooled by those conditional ''mays''; the general knows how to protect a rhetorical flank.)

The general's predictions were soon enough overtaken by the sour news from Iraq. No one had planned properly for the occupation of Iraq and how to keep its army. And the United States Army proved ill suited for the tasks of empire. Hedging against better news in the future, the general observes, ''The occupation had thus far failed to meet popular Iraqi expectations in restoring security and minimal economic standards; Saddam Hussein had evaded capture for months; Baathist elements were hostile; Al Qaeda and other Islamic fighters were entering the country; and a steady diet of daily sniping attacks, bombings and ambushes were producing more casualties each week among the Americans.''

(Page 2 of 2)

How would a President Clark deal with these failures? ''Unfortunately, we are now engaged and fully committed'' and can't leave Iraq in chaos or to a Baathist or radical Islamic regime. ''Now, if possible, we must transform a successful military attack into victory by helping the Iraqi people to use this opportunity to establish representative government and the political and economic freedoms that can at least serve as an example to others throughout the region, as well as by demonstrating the awesome constructive power of U.S. values, ideas and resources.''


That may sound not unlike the policy of President Bush, and indeed the president may ''at last'' want to welcome a United Nations presence in Iraq, ''internationalize the problem'' and get the soldiers of other nations to replace some of our overtaxed forces. But Clark has no confidence in the Bush team's view of the world or management of home affairs. He thinks it has failed to find allies and friends around the world and made a mess of the domestic economy.

''Not since Vietnam had a U.S. administration made the mistake of going for 'guns and butter' simultaneously, or asked so little of an American people at a time of crisis.'' Might that be a gutsy call for higher taxes? Well, not really: ''Tax cuts are a good idea, but we must be certain that we have sufficient funds for defense and other critical needs.'' It seems safer to dwell, at great length, on the need for ''a new strategy for the 21st century -- a broader, more comprehensive and less unilateralist approach abroad coupled with greater attention to a sound U.S. economy at home, and long-range policies to take our nation forward successfully into the future.''

It is a breathtaking vision. Besides sidling out of Iraq, a President Clark would strengthen ''and use'' international institutions, ''repair'' trans-Atlantic relations, ''resolve'' the nuclear challenges of North Korea and Iran, help settle ''disputes'' between India and Pakistan and Israel and the Palestinians, and help to ''ease the ongoing conflicts'' in Africa. He would increasingly employ ''the weapons of law enforcement rather than warfare in attacking terrorism,'' focus more on the ''root causes'' of Islamic terrorism and provide ''substantial economic and political development assistance'' to stimulate ''far-reaching reforms in critical societies in the Middle East.''

In America, too, he favors ''a fresh effort'' to balance private initiatives and public responsibilities to enlarge opportunity and strengthen the nation's competitiveness. That means protecting our air, water and resources, retaining a pluralistic democracy ''with institutional checks and balances,'' meeting ''30-year challenges'' in education and health care and ''smoothing out the business cycle'' with both monetary and fiscal tools.

Clark glibly lists these objectives, and many more, without suggesting any priorities of effort. And he makes no attempt to explain how any American leader could effectively reconcile so many conflicting ambitions and sovereignties. His self-confidence seems rooted in his experience as commander of the NATO forces that bombed and pacified Kosovo in 1999, a headstrong performance that enlarged his faith in international collaborations while it poisoned his relations with peers and superiors at the Pentagon.

As Clark recounted in a previous book, ''Waging Modern War,'' his enemies in Washington managed to trick the Clinton White House into firing him from the post of supreme allied commander in Europe. And so he was left to watch from a CNN studio as a new administration employed the battle doctrines he had long championed in what he bitterly concluded was a misguided cause in Iraq. It was enough to drive a man to print, and to think he could do better, as commander in chief.

__________________________________________________________

Max Frankel, a former executive editor of The Times, is completing a history of the Cuban missile crisis.



To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (5789)10/25/2003 12:47:19 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 10965
 
Has Clark Found His Voice–Both Literally and Figuratively?

emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com

<<...Clark is talking a lot about his military career and how he got drawn into it as a way to help his country during the Cold War. He talks about the considerable work he put into rebuilding and modernizing the military after the Vietnam War debacle. And he talks about his desire to serve his country in a new era when we are both threatened by terror and in danger of damaging our institutions and government. He contrasts his New American Patriotism to the Bush administration’s reckless conduct both internationally and domestically.

That’s a pretty good frame for talking up a Democratic agenda. And he adds to this a strong emphasis on pragmatism--governing based on facts and what works, rather than ideology and pre-formed conclusions. As he puts it: “I don’t oppose the president’s policies because they are Republican policies. I oppose them because they don’t work.”

He also uses the military and his experience in it to advance the themes of equal opportunity and meritocratic advancement. And he is striving to strike a note of optimism about the future of country and the great things it can achieve, both here and abroad, if it gets back on track.

This is an attractive package and, in DR’s view, could make Clark a very effective general election candidate. Policy proposals and critiques of the Bush administration aren’t enough; voters want a sense of your values and your vision for the country and Clark may be on his way to supplying that...>>



To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (5789)10/25/2003 12:50:10 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 10965
 
If you were going to vote for president right now, which candidate would you support:

armytimes.com

Ambassador Carol Moseley Braun 0.28 % (12)
Gen. Wesley Clark (Ret.) 39.42 % (1,677)
Gov. Howard Dean 7.26 % (309)
Sen. John Edwards 0.33 % (14)
Rep. Dick Gephardt 2.49 % (106)
Sen. John Kerry 16.97 % (722)
Rep. Dennis Kucinich 0.24 % (10)
Sen. Joe Lieberman 0.75 % (32)
Rev. Al Sharpton 1.53 % (65)
President George W. Bush 30.72 % (1,307)
Total votes: 4254



To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (5789)10/25/2003 12:59:55 PM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10965
 
The poll 4 days before this one showed Dean ahead by 6%. There is no proof the second poll is right and the one right before it wrong. Kerry has his work cut out for him, but he also has 70% approval ratings in New Hampshire, Jeanne Shaheen now running his campaign there with Clinton-DNC backing, and 30% undecideds. Almost all Dean leaners pick Kerry as their close second choice, which means there may be 50% of the NH voters still sitting on the fence. Dean is the perfect NH candidate, but he's still beatable, or if not beatable then almost tie-able. Could be very close in the final test. If Kerry pulls within single digits of Dean again it will now be seen as a victory him him, not Dean. At least it will not hurt him. I'll bet the race tightens up quite a bit going into the primary. Might even end up being a toss-up.



To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (5789)10/25/2003 1:18:10 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 10965
 
Clark seems to be getting the hang of running for president
___________________________________________

By CARL P. LEUBSDORF
The Dallas Morning News
08:47 AM CDT on Thursday, October 23, 2003
dallasnews.com

Since the start of the 20th century, seven presidents first served as vice president, nine were governors, five were senators, and two served in the Cabinet. One was none of the above: retired Gen. Dwight D. Eisenhower.

In the 2004 presidential race, all but two Democratic candidates have served in Congress or as governor. An eighth, the Rev. Al Sharpton, is an almost certain also-ran. The other is none of the above: retired Gen. Wesley Clark.

And that may explain the initial strength that has catapulted the year's unlikeliest candidate to the top of the national polls. At a time when the public seems turned off on politics as usual, he isn't like the usual politicians.

With the war on terrorism putting new emphasis on national security issues, Gen. Clark brings a unique combination of high-level military and diplomatic experience no rival can match.

In a field dominated by Northern liberals, he is more like the Southern moderates who have been the party's best national vote-getters in the last 30 years. He also appeals to Democrats eager for anyone they think could win.

Still, it is a long way from leading national polls to winning a nomination. He has shown his inexperience in explaining his positions, notably on what should be his strong point: the war on Iraq. His admission that he voted for Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan may turn off some Democrats. And he has had the kind of staff turmoil that afflicts many hastily organized campaigns.

But after some hesitancy, he is beginning to show an understanding of the nominating process that he will need to convert his poll numbers into primary victories.

His decision to bypass Iowa's caucuses on Jan. 19 recognized how hard it would have been to build an organization to compete there. He would have had to overcome the head start of Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean and Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry. And, besides, Iowa's electorate is dominated by union members, senior citizens and liberal activists, hardly an ideal battlefield for a military man's first political battle.

Gen. Clark's decision, and a similar one by Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman, probably won't change the race much, since neither was likely to do well in Iowa. Both may find New Hampshire's Jan. 27 primary more promising, especially Gen. Clark. Its primary is more volatile. Its electorate is bigger and will include thousands of independents. A poll last week showed him running third, behind New England candidates Dean and Kerry.

New Hampshire also has been a launching pad for candidates who didn't do well in Iowa: Democrats Gary Hart in 1984 and Bill Clinton in 1992 and Republican John McCain in 2000.

Events could play into the general's hands. If Mr. Dean defeats Mr. Gephardt in Iowa and Mr. Kerry in New Hampshire, a strong showing in New Hampshire could make Gen. Clark the former Vermont governor's main foe as the race moves south and west. (Of course, Mr. Gephardt could foil that plan by winning Iowa and making himself Mr. Dean's chief rival.)

Still, many party leaders see Gen. Clark as the best hope of blocking Mr. Dean, whose outsider appeal they fear won't attract enough moderates and independents to win. As a general who voted for Mr. Nixon and Mr. Reagan, Gen. Clark could cut GOP margins among white men. Some liberals think he is too conservative. But their antagonism to President Bush will ensure that most vote Democratic.

On the other hand, he may be the least experienced high-level candidate since the GOP nominated Wendell Willkie in 1940. Inexperienced candidates often make mistakes at crucial moments. The odds definitely are against him.

But if he can avoid mistakes and succeed in negotiating the primaries, Gen. Clark could make the 2004 race even more unpredictable than it already looks.

_____________________________________

Carl P. Leubsdorf is Washington Bureau chief of The Dallas Morning News. His e-mail address is cleubsdorf@dallasnews.com.