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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stockman_scott who wrote (5857)	10/26/2003 6:49:24 PM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 10965

You're forgetting the one big path to victory. If Dean does not sweep primary after primary (and that is very possible) even if he has more delegates than anyone, so long as Kerry, Clark or Gephardt are close to Dean, all the others and the DNC Super Delegates can get behind the anti-Dean candidate and put him over the top. Right now, I don't se anyone with a commanding lead. Dean is the only one with an outside chance, but he has major vulnerabilities, especially outside the liberal anti-war havens and New Hampshire. Let's say Gephardt doesn't make it. We already know Lieberman and Edwards won't. But they will all have delegates. Who are those three going to back? Together they may have as many delegates as Dean. See what I mean? That is why even if Kerry only wins in a few places, he can still win. Or if he stumbles, Gephardt or Clark can pick up the baton. Bottomline, since we know the DNC does not want Dean as the nominee, they can do just what they did to McCarthy, Jesse Jackson and would have done to George Wallace (no, not shoot him). They can gang up and pull every string to make sure Dean does not get anywhere close to 50% of the delegates.