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Strategies & Market Trends : Natural Resource Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: big guy who wrote (2600)10/28/2003 4:14:35 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 108663
 
very interesting Gold/DXY chart
tells me that Gold is running faster than the watered down anti-Euro is falling

I find the DXY to be largely useless as an index
it is 52% weighted with Euro
and they call it "trade weighted"
what decade was that? 1950's

I wish there were a popular Broad Dollar Index reported more often, and esp traded in futures contracts
it would be 35% weighted Japan, 40% weighted China, and only 15% weighted Europe, with some Canada
the Federal Reserve maintains this index, a real one
but they dont talk about it much
since it hasnt budged much at all in two years
in other words, the USDollar, as far as trading partners who benefit from the lopsided trade deficit are concerned, has seen almost no correction whatsoever

the Fed would prefer to maintain the illusion that the USDollar has almost finished its correction
when it has not even begun
well, as of October 1st, it began after the Dubai G7 Meeting
when the JYEN broke north of 88, and has not stopped since

DXY is a real curveball nonsensical meaningless index
its only importance is two-fold
1. reflection of Euro
2. available for hedging in futures

/ jim



To: big guy who wrote (2600)10/28/2003 4:44:17 PM
From: yard_man  Respond to of 108663
 
looks like we entered a more volatile regime beginning November of last year ...



To: big guy who wrote (2600)10/28/2003 4:47:22 PM
From: big guy  Respond to of 108663
 
I've been watching that big rising wedge Jim.

stockcharts.com[w,a]daclyyay[de][pb50!b200][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9]&pref=G

I agree the merits of the DXY are questionable but it has been chartable using basic T/A so it does have some useful purpose. I don't think the ratio is heading back to 3.2 but I do see some short term weakness in the charts of both the Euro and the Yen.