SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Natural Resource Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gold$10k who wrote (2610)10/28/2003 5:17:40 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 108664
 
yup, I love the old technical saying on breakouts

first it sticks its head out
checks if the coast is clear
then comes the full body out the window

on the way down more like a bouncing ball

I believe the move to DXY=88 will scare the piss out of both USGovt officials and CNBC

soon, questions like ...
1. how far will the US$ decline ?
2. how far should the US$ decline ?
3. what benefits have seen from the US$ decline to date ?
4. what exactly will stop the US$ decline ?
5. what are the risks to US Economy in US$ decline ?
6. if Asian currencies rise, will our imports rise in price ?

some effing turkey was on today, by name of Lawrence Meyer
he claims that consumer price inflation has been and will remain calm
maybe by next spring he will eat crow, and a yard of my shit
by then, Asian imports will cost more
and the CPI will have to be sanitized (with great difficulty)
heck, they can deem the Asian currency runup as an external singular event, and remove it from the CPI
they will not be able to diffuse the effect on the Import Price Index
imagine the cost implications if the CPI rose to 5-7% in coming years
NOW THAT IS A FEDERAL BUDGET SHOW-STOPPER

they are not clued in on the absent monetary and industrial mechanisms
they are far too pre-occupied by "faith in USTBonds"
and too diverted by "full faith in obligations"

this will become tragic
USTBonds are sold with promise of non-default
but nobody seems to talk about lost value in foreign hands due exclusively to declining USDollar
they will, since Asians will talk about it publicly
as their vast $1000 billions in USTB are eroding in value
all coming to a theatre near you this winter and next year

/ jim