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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Spekulatius who wrote (17973)11/12/2003 12:24:30 AM
From: - with a K  Respond to of 78439
 
I took a starter position in JNJ at $48.99. Reasons: think most of the bad news is priced in; 1.96% yield with steady history of rising dividends; payout ratio of 40%; declining debt since 1999, now very low; rising net profit margins since 1998; history of EPS growth; recently saw a Stock Selection Guide (NAIC) with conservative estimates, and it was a "buy;" ugly chart but think there is some support around $48-$49.

Company: JNJ
Date: 11/11/03
2003's expected earnings: $2.64
Estimated EPS growth rate: 11
P/E maximum: 16
Graham Fair Value: $70.63
Current Price: $49.08
$ difference: $21.55
Percent Growth to Fair Value: 43.90%