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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio candidates - Moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mike Buckley who wrote (244)11/1/2003 11:42:11 PM
From: straight life  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2955
 
Mike-

Several months back, a senior QCOM official in a public forum suggested that they could maintain a CAGR of 37.5%

That would really work for me, though even I must admit to a healthy skepticism that they could really accomplish such an outsized feat.

From a value perspective that would equal a current intrinsic valuation of $124 a share, using a discounted cash flow model that assumes the 37.5% CAGR on initial earnings of $726,300,032 and a 15% discount rate over a 10 year period.

Since this is not an area that I'm comfortable with I cannot really stand behind either these figures or the analysis itself, which I got off a website. However, I do find the possibility of this occuring encouraging, to say the least.

I think 3G will be huge, much larger than investors (who've been terribly depressed and beaten down by the Great Bear) are currently prepared to accept.

It'll be interesting.

Be well.