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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: philv who wrote (1779)11/3/2003 10:26:58 AM
From: glenn_a  Respond to of 110194
 
Hi philv.

"But I really can't understand the commodity price surge. These commodities are either going into world wide manufacturing or are being stockpiled."

Actually, I'm not sure either of these scenarios is necessary to drive commodity prices higher. Speculative capital could easily manipulate the price of the physical via sheer speculative capital flows. This is my sense anyway. Financial and underlying asset markets are SO driven by speculative capital flows its scary. Russ or anyone, any comments on the veracity of this statement? Am I off base here?

So while I do concur there is a genuine macro story re: commodities, commodity pricing action "at the margin" (which is where prices are set) is very significantly driven by speculative capital.

JM2C on the matter.

Regards,
Glenn



To: philv who wrote (1779)11/3/2003 10:48:44 AM
From: Silver Super Bull  Respond to of 110194
 
Phil,

RE: "But I really can't understand the commodity price surge."

One theory is that this is due to a global debasement of currencies (via money printing).

My pet theory is that we may be witnessing the first signs of impending strong inflation (perhaps even hyperinflation)

DB