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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Joe S Pack who wrote (40978)11/6/2003 11:05:26 AM
From: RealMuLan  Respond to of 74559
 
Yes, your friend is quite right. China can ONLY be stopped by itself (by turmoil within), NO outside forces, whether they are political, or economical, or military, could stop China.



To: Joe S Pack who wrote (40978)11/6/2003 11:15:44 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Yup Nat, the whole place is made up of patches of construction sites arranged in between farm fields connected by new highways and buzzed with energy powered by 300 years of pent-up demand :0)

I get scared about it all sometimes, because it all seems too much too fast involving too many spread out in too enormous an area.

Chugs, Jay



To: Joe S Pack who wrote (40978)11/6/2003 11:20:33 AM
From: Hugh A  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
and received a hugh grant...

Nat - is that something you get in the back seat of a rental car?

HA



To: Joe S Pack who wrote (40978)11/6/2003 11:52:19 AM
From: AC Flyer  Read Replies (6) | Respond to of 74559
 
>>very soon China will be the dominant world economic power<<

Nat:

Don't misunderstand, I am not attacking China or the Chinese. Quite the opposite in fact, I earn my daily bread distributing Chinese products in the US, but...

The above statement is nonsensical on its face and I am surprised that it could have been made by someone with a PhD. Why? Simple arithmetic.

How so? Well, the US economy (~$10.80 trillion) is approximately nine times larger than the Chinese economy (~$1.23 trillion). This means that China must achieve a GDP growth rate that is nine times that of the USA in order to add an equivalent amount of economic activity to the Chinese economy. Or, to put it another way, US GDP growth of 4% adds more than three times the amount of economic activity to the US economy (~$0.43 trillion) that 10% GDP growth adds to the Chinese economy (~$0.12 trillion).

Bottom line? Unless you expect China to show sustained GDP growth rates in the 30%+ range, it is flat out silly to make the statement made by your friend.