To: American Spirit who wrote (489132 ) 11/7/2003 2:53:25 PM From: JakeStraw Respond to of 769667 Economy Rebounding from Clinton Recession September 3, 2003 By GREGORY J. RUMMO LATE AUGUST BROUGHT a long list of economic positives. Much of this was missed by Democrats and their sycophants in the mainstream media who instead were quite content to focus on whatever negative economic news they could to make President Bush look bad. News of the capture of former Iraqi leader “Chemical Ali” helped push the Dow to a new 52-week high along with a 17,000 drop in jobless claims for the week of August 16, marking four out of five weeks that the reading was under 400,000. Among other positive economic news reported in The Wall Street Journal were: Intel raising its revenue forecast due to increased demand for PCs, Wal-Mart raising its August sales forecast saying it could possibly “post its largest monthly gain in over a year, a sign consumer spending continues to accelerate,” United Airlines reporting improved results for July and an operating profit of $35 million and the rebounding of advertisements on the Web. Taken separately these indicators would be meaningless. But taken together, they are significant and reflect an improving job market and a rise in consumer confidence, which will inevitably lead to increased spending and an increased demand for goods and services. Since more people were willing to “fly the friendly skies,” this is not only an encouraging sign for an airline industry that was dealt a near-fatal blow on nine-eleven but an indication that more business travelers are taking to the skies. And that means businesses are also in the mood to spend more money. The one big negative is the spike in gasoline prices—hardly the fault of the Bush administration—which continues to find itself stymied by radical environmental groups filing lawsuits to hamper drilling for both oil and natural gas. Nevertheless, by early September, both Brent crude oil and light crude oil futures were trading below the benchmark $30/barrel, a good sign that the price of gasoline should soon ease from its late August highs. The party continued into September. On Sept. 2, the Dow Jones Industrials Average closed at 9523.27, its best close in 14 months. The NASDAQ closed at a 17-month high. The rally in the tech sector was due to optimistic outlooks from Dell Computer and IBM and a report that manufacturing grew for the second straight month, “another sign the hard-hit sector may finally be on the rebound,” The Wall Street Journal reported on its front page the next day. The US economy is driven by the engine of consumerism. If consumers aren’t in the mood to buy or if they do not have the means to purchase goods and services, our economy comes to a screeching halt. Lower interest rates have done a lot to help in this regard. Historic, near-low rates have put more money into the hands of consumers by allowing them to do such things as refinance their homes or purchase cars through zero-percent financing. When is the last time you saw an old, rusted-out junker on the highway, belching a plume of blue-white exhaust from its tailpipe? Yet, in the midst of all this good economic news comes a report that poverty actually increased in the United States. “Nearly 1.4 Million More in Poverty,” the Associated Press headline blared. If you stopped there, you would be misled. Even a cursory read of the story revealed the truth: “‘The increase in poverty in 2002 was not out of the ordinary for a recession, and less severe than expected,’ said Sheldon Danzinger, co-director of the National Poverty Center at the University of Michigan. ‘Results of the surveys have been consistent with what one would expect during a down economic period,’ said Chuck Nelson, who helps oversee income and poverty statistics for the Census Bureau.” And Robert Rector of the Heritage Foundation, explained that welfare reform helped keep more single mothers working than in previous economic downturns, and therefore, out of poverty. “‘So now coming out of the recession, in terms of child poverty, it's a very optimistic picture,’ Rector said. ‘In terms of the population overall, it looks like an ordinary recession.’” Democrats, hoping you get your news from sound bites and glances at headlines, will attempt to pin this dour characterization of the economy on President Bush just as they have blamed him for the economic downturn that began during Clinton’s last year in office. Yes that’s right—you read the last sentence correctly. Data cited by the National Bureau of Economic Research showed two of the four indicators used by the bureau started contracting in 2000 before Mr. Bush took office. And according to the Commerce Department, the economy limped along in the third and fourth quarters of 2000, by 0.6 percent and 1.1 percent, respectively. In 2001, GDP declined in the first three quarters—hardly the fault of a president who had only just been inaugurated. George Bush inherited a weak economy, teetering on the brink of recession. The terrorist attacks of two years ago pushed it over the edge. Critics of the president’s economic policies—his tax cut—are guilty of selective memory. And they hope yours will be in sync with theirs. “It’s the economy, stupid.” Yes it is. I guess that’s why the word stupid ends in a “D.” ngeocities.com