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Biotech / Medical : Rigel Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RIGL) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: keokalani'nui who wrote (156)11/10/2003 9:14:50 PM
From: mopgcw  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 566
 
CSFB Report from a Yahoo post:

We initiate coverage of Rigel at Outperform and set a 12-month target price of $26 (discounted sum of the parts). Rigel trades at $13.90 per share. We believe that its hepatitis C small molecule program alone is worth more than $14 per share. Rigel will have two potential $1B drug candidates from novel drug classes in the clinic in 2003 and a drug discovery platform that could yield multiple
cancer product candidates entering the clinic in 2005. All this potential is for a development-stage company with a $200M market capitalization.

• Rigel has a leading position in small molecule SyK inhibition for allergy/asthma and rheumatoid arthritis. SyK is critical to mast cell activation. Our consultants believe that SyK inhibition is one of the most promising approaches to allergy/asthma, a potential $1B opportunity. Rigel’s lead candidate, R112 (intranasal) has shown activity in a Phase Ib/IIa study in allergic rhinitis. Advanced clinical studies could begin in spring 2004. A next-generation compound (by inhalation) could enter the clinic for treatment of asthma in H2:04. Rigel could file an IND in mid-2004 to begin clinical studies in rheumatoid arthritis with a systemic SyK inhibitor.

• Rigel discovered and retains all rights to R803, a small molecule candidate for hepatitis C that could enter the clinic by year-end 2003. R803 may be the most potent HCV polymerase inhibitor in development. We believe that a safe and effective HCV small molecule drug could have peak sales potential in excess of $1B.

• Our 2003-10 EPS estimates are ($3.95), ($2.10), ($2.27), ($2.90), ($3.07), ($1.49), $1.90, and $4.07. We project profitability in 2009 based on approvals in asthma/allergy (2007E) and HCV (2008E).

• Key near-term potential stock catalysts include Phase I/II R112 allergen challenge data at the 2003 ACAAI meeting (November 7-12) and initiation of R803 Phase I HCV studies in Q4:03.

Target price (12 months) 26.00 (US$)
52 week high - low 15.00 - 5.22
Market cap. (US$m) 205.51
Enterprise value (US$m) 205.51
Region / Country Americas / United States
Sector Biotechnology
Analyst's Coverage Universe Biotechnology
Weighting (vs. broad market) OVERWEIGHT
Date 06 November 2003
* Stock ratings are relative to the coverage universe in
each analyst's or each team's respective sector.
[V] = Stock considered volatile (see Disclosure Section).
Price / Indexed S&P500
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
Nov-02 Feb-03 May-03 Aug-03
Daily Nov 06, 2002 - Nov 05, 2003, 11/06/02 = US$14.22
Price Indexed S&P500
On 11/05/03 the S&P 500 index closed at 1,051.81
Year 12/02A 12/03E 12/04E
EPS (CSFB adj., US$) -7.42 -3.95 -2.10
Prev. EPS (US$)
P/E (x) NM NM NM
P/E rel. (%) — — —
Q1 EPS -1.74 -1.53
Q2 -2.07 -1.90
Q3 -2.01 -0.78
Q4 -1.59 -0.67
Number of shares (m) IC (12/02A, US$m)