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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: carranza2 who wrote (15719)	11/9/2003 3:51:26 PM
From: LindyBill	Respond to of 793711

The tourist industry doesn't mind having all the google-eyed poseurs come down to the Spooky Bayou and spending a lot of money while here, either. You are in a very religious area there. We blase types giggle at people who believe in a literal Devil. But it goes over there. I doubt if the story of Bobby's supposed confrontation with a "possession" will hurt him.

To: carranza2 who wrote (15719)	11/12/2003 8:44:39 AM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793711

Latest update on Jindal from "Real Clear Politics" He is looking good. ________________________________ The first set of polls following the Oct 4th primary showed Blanco with a 4-7 point lead on average, but since the third week in October Jindal has moved out to a small, yet solid lead in most polls. Of particular concern for Blanco is her inability to poll over 45% in any survey since mid-October, while Jindal has received 48%-49% in five different polls over the same period. Jindal's extremely young age and his Indian ancestry have contributed to a higher than normal level of uncertainty in this race, as there were questions whether a 32-year old son of immigrants from India could win in Louisiana. In what may be a reflection of how far the South and the country have moved with regard to race, it appears that Jindal's Indian ancestry is having little effect in this contest. Of course, polls and votes can be two different things. Like all Democrats in the South, Blanco is going to need massive support from the African-American community to win. However, in a stunning move the black mayor of New Orleans has endorsed Jindal and it appears to be helping him draw more support from the African-American community than is typical for Republicans. While Blanco does have the support of the very well liked Senator Breaux, it is more than countered by the enthusiastic endorsement of Jindal by popular Gov. Mike Foster. Last December, Senator Mary Landrieu was able to win 52% - 48%, because she got that huge African-American vote and a very respectable percent of the the white vote. In that race Landrieu was the more likable and better candidate. In this year's race, Jindal seems to the better and more attractive candidate. "Jindal is being perceived as a progressive, revolutionary Republican figure in the state," says Douglas Brinkley, director of the Eisenhower Center for American Studies at the University of New Orleans. Landrieu held a 1.5 point lead in our final poll average last year and she went on to a four point win. Jindal currently holds a 4.2 point lead in our latest average and if that can stay over 2% he should be able to pull out the win on Saturday. We think Jindal will win almost 15% of the black vote and will hold on to enough of the traditional Republican vote to squeeze out a victory and make history. realclearpolitics.com

To: carranza2 who wrote (15719)	11/13/2003 10:58:51 AM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793711

"JINDAL SMOKED HER": That's the verdict on last night's final debate between Kathleen Blanco and Bobby Jindal, according to a political science major from LSU quoted in the Lafayette Advertiser. Here's the full quote: “Jindal smoked her,” said Darrell Kropog of Hammond, summing up the feelings of many of his classmates. “You can tell he thinks even faster than he talks because he never paused” in his answers. A few paragraphs later there's this: Amber Williams of Opelousas said Jindal “answered the questions better. She [Blanco] was babbling a lot, and I kind of felt sorry for her when the guy moderating the debate kept telling her to answer the questions.” “It’s funny how she claims not to be asking people to vote for her because she’s woman, yet she said that four times,” said Carter LeBlanc, a female student from Houma. Let me throw in my two anecdotal cents. I spoke to one of my best friends yesterday who lives in New Orleans to get his take on the race. My friend, we'll call him JB, doesn't really follow politics too closely. He does stay up on current events, however, and he's one of the smartest, most level-headed people you could ever hope to meet. He's also young (34), African-American, and traditionally inclined to vote Democratic. Not this time. His impressions of the candidates (told to me before last night's debate) are very similar to the ones expressed above. Jindal comes off as extremely smart and well prepared with specific plans to deal with specific issues. JB said that Blanco, on the other hand, responds to questions about issues by proposing panels and commissions to "study" the problems. But here's where I think the real difference in the race is: JB acknowledged that Jindal was more conservative than he liked or wanted. Yet he's still inclined to vote for Jindal anyway, primarily because Blanco represents, at least to him, the old guard of Louisiana politics. She's part of the machine, part of the good 'ol boy network (even though she's a woman) that is business as usual and that takes votes and voters in Louisiana (to use JB's words) "for granted." Jindal, in both his appearance and his rhetoric, represents something new, different, and fresh. The symbolism is cliche but seems to be true: to many voters Jindal is the future and Blanco the past. Now, as we noted yesterday, just how many of these younger, potential Jindal voters turn out is a different story. But absentee voting is already at a record high, which strongly favors Jindal. Also, the most recent tracking poll shows a 9-point lead for Jindal, but it did show an up-tick for Blanco yesterday. Stay tuned, we'll be making our final call tomorrow. realclearpolitics.com