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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (490337)11/10/2003 4:02:28 PM
From: miraje  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670
 
Hey Lizzie,

I'll tell you why the Dems chance of taking the White House next year are somewhere south of zero, barring a MAJOR Bush screwup.

Assume for a minute that American Spitski is at least partially right in asserting that the Dem insiders and powers that be will do anything and everything to deny Dean the nomination. That will only succeed in fracturing the Dem Party right down the middle.

If Dean gets the shaft from professional party hacks, his diehard supporters will either stay home for the election or turn to the Greenies. I worked for Gene McCarthy's campaign in 1968 in Oregon and California (as a young passionate idealist) and I can tell you that his supporters felt more animosity towards Hubert Humphrey than they did towards Nixon. I see parallels in this current campaign.

If Dean does manage to get the Dem nomination, the Republicans will eat him for lunch. I like some of what he says, but his pacifist schtick and promise to rescind all tax cuts ain't gonna play in middle America, especially as the economy keeps recovering (and it will, given the massive pump priming that's occurred).

The problem with the Democratic Party is that it's become a hodgepodge of special interest groups, some of whom have conflicting views on particular issues. Their inability to present a coherent consensus and positive view of America's future dooms them to minority status, at least for the near term future.

Too bad, because Ashcroft and his cohorts attacks on civil liberties need an effective counter balance...



To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (490337)11/10/2003 4:41:20 PM
From: Johannes Pilch  Respond to of 769670
 
I like Dean quite a lot. I don't know why so many think he is unelectable...

I think Dean is quite electable, just not in America. The guy smiles the politician's smile of antiquity; and yet he is too openly passionate about leftist belief. The more conservative forces in America would eat him like a pork chop and suck the marrow out of his bones.

In about three or four presidential elections from now, we will be sufficiently marginalized to make a Dean presidency a distinct possibility. Let him try then.