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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (6412)	11/11/2003 5:48:45 PM
From: Mephisto	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 10965

[John Kerry] "As Congress debated Iraq last year, Kerry became one of the Senate's most articulate critics of President Bush's rush to war. In commentary published in The New York Times in September 2002, he wrote: "Until we have properly laid the groundwork and proved to our fellow citizens and our allies that we really have no other choice, we are not yet at the moment of unilateral decision-making in going to war against Iraq." But just a month later - with nothing in the president's approach to Iraq having changed - he gave Bush that unilateral authority. Over the course of the last year, Kerry has occasionally claimed that Bush misled him and his fellow senators, but that answer makes Kerry sound gullible - not the sort of man you'd trust to protect the country against the likes of Osama bin Laden and Kim Jong-il. (The president did engage in dissembling and distortion to win support for his war, but Kerry was in a position to know that.) The truth is more likely this: Kerry caved in to what he believed to be his political interests. Last year, many Democratic strategists were advising their congressional candidates to vote for the war. Kerry, whose most transparent flaw has always been calculated ambition, probably believed that his presidential aspirations would be better served by a "yes" vote on the resolution. The irony, of course, is that the opposite turned out to be true: With young Americans dying daily in Iraq, the public has a more jaundiced view of the invasion than it did several months ago. Kerry lost the bet. And that may be just what he deserves. There are some issues that are simply too important to be put through the calculus of political odds-making, and a vote to send the nation to war is certainly one of them. As distasteful as it is to watch Republicans bash gay marriage to placate fundamentalist Christians, or to watch Democrats demagogue on Medicare to win over seniors, neither of those issues has the significance of a vote to go to war. The consideration of invading a sovereign nation - and putting young Americans in harm's way to do it - ought to be the sort of issue in which a man or woman votes his or her conscience, regardless of the political ramifications. If John Kerry failed to do that, he doesn't deserve the presidency." Article: How John Kerry gambled and lost By Cynthia Tucker ATLANTA CONSTITUTION Cynthia Tucker is editorial page editor for The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. She can be reached by e-mail: cynthia@ajc.com. From: tallahassee.com

To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (6412)	11/11/2003 6:18:59 PM
From: American Spirit	Respond to of 10965

Kerry did the right thing replacing his campaign manager. He needs the super machine power in New Hampshire and the new woman and Shaheen have it. He knows if he doesn't do very well in NH he could be through. He has to at least run neck in neck with Dean in NH and finish strong in Iowa. Jim Jordan's frinds quit too, big deal. The new gal has her own people I'm sure she'll bring in.

To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (6412)	11/13/2003 7:39:47 PM
From: Raymond Duray	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 10965

Republican Pollsters Claim: Dean Can Win moore-info.com A recent article by David Brooks left readers with the distinct impression that Republican pollsters are all of the opinion that Howard Dean cannot possibly beat George Bush. We regret that he didn’t check with us first, as it is our belief that Dean has the potential to be a formidable candidate who could give the President a very difficult race. The conventional wisdom that has some Republicans giddy about a potential Dean candidacy is not only misguided, it is counterproductive. Writing off a candidate like Dean by selectively sorting statistical gobble-de-gook and mixing it into a broth of “empirical” sociological evidence ignores the political realities of our time. Howard Dean can win because he believes in what he is saying, because he can semi-legitimately spin his record as Governor into one of fiscal conservatism, and because he comes across as if he actually cares about people. We don’t know what the issues will be 14 months from now. Perhaps the economy will be rolling and the President will be soaring. If that’s the case, no one can beat him. But there is the potential for the economy to remain sluggish and stagnant and conditions in the Middle East are impossible to predict. ld these situations remain status quo or worsen, America will be looking for someone new, someone fresh, someone who can shake America out of the doldrums and reinvigorate the body politic. Dean would provide solutions and excitement where the other Democrats, while perhaps polished and attractive, are not as convincing because they don’t have the perceived conviction of a Howard Dean. Furthermore, if one makes the case that Bush could be vulnerable to the poofy John Kerry or the scintillating (yawn) Bob Graham, how can anyone write off Howard Dean? Because Graham can win Florida, he can win the White House? Well, Dr. Dean knows a little something about health care and there are a few folks in that state who have some stake in the issue. And let’s not forget the President’s noble efforts to reform Social Security, a demagogue’s dream in the Sunshine State. Howard Dean has many qualities that make him a strong candidate, but the best way to judge his ability to win is simply to do the math. Below is a list of states we believe Howard Dean could win. We have broken them down into three columns. The first column is basically the Democrat base. The second column consists of Democrat leaners/swing states. The third column is Republican leaning states where Democrats have won in the recent past and could do so again. MORE.....