SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wayners who wrote (490955)11/11/2003 4:24:59 PM
From: DuckTapeSunroof  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670
 
Re: "So what would happen?"

>>> Default in all but name. (They will NEVER repudiate the debt, or refuse to pay.)

>>> Run the printing presses as fast as they can, and pay bond-holders back with scraps of toilet paper... but that can't 'solve' the federal funding problem.

>>> Rates on T-bonds have to rise high enough to attract buyers. At some point enough potential buyers are attracted by the perceived risk/reward ratio. (Like in '81, when you could buy a 30 year T-bond yielding over 16%. Buyers gambled that eventually something would be done to lower the budget funding gap.)

>>> Exactly where that sweet spot in yields will be --- considering the unpresidented projected budget imbalance going out to the visible horizon --- is unknown.