To: Dayuhan who wrote (15901 ) 11/12/2003 5:52:08 AM From: LindyBill Respond to of 793670 Everytime I read an article on this subject, I think of "Sow the Wind." I hope we have a contingency plan to occupy Eastern Saudi Arabia and protect the Oil Fields if the House of Saud goes down. ______________________________________ The Saudi Revolution Can Riyadh reform before the royal family falls? BY DAVID PRYCE-JONES Wall Street Journal "Is it a revolt?" Louis XVI asked in 1789. "No, sire, it is a revolution," answered one of his courtiers. In Saudi Arabia the ruling family has long been presiding over a denial of reality to match that of the Bourbon monarchy. The bombing this weekend in Riyadh, which killed 17 people and wounded over 100, suggests that the thousands of princes who control the wealth of that country have trouble in store. First, the dead this time are exclusively Arabs and Muslims, mostly Lebanese and Egyptians. Somebody is evidently even more eager to destabilize Saudi Arabia than to kill Americans or Westerners. Richard Armitage, deputy secretary of state, happened to be in Riyadh, and he indulged in some instant guesswork about who did the bombing and why. "It is quite clear to me that al Qaeda wants to take down the royal family and the government of Saudi Arabia." The Saudi ambassador to London, Prince Turki al-Faisal, an influential member of the ruling family and for a number of years head of Saudi intelligence, was equally quick to blame al Qaeda, and was almost surely right. Second, American intelligence appears to have received prior warning that some such act of terror was imminent. As a precaution, the U.S. Embassy and consulates had been shut. Britain's Foreign Office issued warnings to the British to stay away from the country. And third, this occurs at a moment when the Arab world is having to come to terms with the U.S. campaign in Iraq, and President Bush's insistence on democracy and freedom for everyone. Everyone, Mr. Bush made clear, includes Saudi Arabia. There, 5,000 or more princes control all power and resources, sharing out ministries and governorships and oil revenues as they see fit. Their idea of democracy is to appoint an advisory council and religious leaders carefully vetted to provide a facade of legitimacy. Immemorial tribal custom and the local Wahhabi brand of Islam are defended and perpetuated to create the impression that this is the natural order of things. The Shiite minority forms about 20% of the population, but on the grounds that they are not Wahhabis they are arrested without trial, tortured and often disappear. Rights and the rule of law are only what the ruling family says they are. The Saudi family of course has a large and privileged security and police apparatus at its service. No blueprint exists in any of the textbooks for successfully modernizing a society like this one. In 1979 a group of Wahhabi extremists seized the mosque in Mecca and tried to spark a revolution. Flown in for the purpose, French special forces shot dead every last one of them. Since then, many Saudis, including some in the royal family, have understood that their society's moral and intellectual confusion is bringing about its downfall. But those who understand the problem have had little practical effect. The ruling princes, either because they are too old, too unimaginative or too selfish, have continued on as before, failing to make reforms which might have saved them. REST AT opinionjournal.com