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To: mishedlo who wrote (85744)11/13/2003 10:13:08 PM
From: bcrafty  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
mish, I see echoes of bobcor's "canaries" thoughts
throughout that article.

He makes a lot of good points, all of which are well taken.

It's only at the very end that I think he might be speculating a little to far when he says "The consumer spending patterns in the upper middle class are too dependent on the confidence brought on by the overpriced and rising stock market."

With that statement I'm wondering to myself just what real people is he basing that thought on. It's certainly not any of the upper-middle class people I know, whose B&H portfolio is still in the crapper from the decline in 2000, and are now working harder than ever to try to something to their IRAs to make up for the time they lost waiting for the market to come back. The people I know are as convinced as anybody that the worst is not over, and they are not spending frivolisly in any way I can see at all. He might be basing his theory on theoretical people rather than real ones.

A minor point, to be sure, but nevertheless it shows that he might be stretching his analogies a little.



To: mishedlo who wrote (85744)11/14/2003 12:06:31 AM
From: Shack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Same as it ever was, both stocks locked in their uptrends within the corrective bounce off the 2001 lows, the big 'B' wave. One day we will see a brother down to the dump from jan 2000, but bears are best to wait until the trend breaks.

I see a chance that AMZN may be ready to do so, 3 weeks ago the big down stick had a lot of volume attached to it. But the UT remains in tact for now.