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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: FaultLine who wrote (16135)11/14/2003 11:59:31 AM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 793622
 
a class of men fit only to hunt, dance, gamble and duel

Perfect description of "Rhett Butler." I read that line and said, "Lincoln could not have said it, or I would have read it before. It is just too good not to have been quoted in every Bio that has ever been done of him."

But, It's a great line!



To: FaultLine who wrote (16135)11/14/2003 12:16:48 PM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 793622
 
All sorts of goodies at NRO today. Here is a nice piece of sarcasm.




November 14, 2003, 9:28 a.m.
The T-Word
Denis Boyles

It was close one, but last week, the U.S. lost the war in Iraq.

I only have this stack of Brit mags and newspapers to go by, but apparently, what happened is that what Dominique de Villepin began describing as a "spiral of violence" has now turned into a maelstrom of mayhem, with the U.S. military flailing wildly and ineffectively against a brave cadre of rebels in Iraq, while in Washington, Bush is taking the advice of the French, who know how to handle this kind of situation, and running for cover to insure his reelection. Meanwhile, according to Max Hastings in The Spectator, the British are "furious" at America for not being smart enough to be British.

The brave rebels bit I picked up in The Observer, where the headline "US turns wrath on resistance fighters" definitely gives terrorists a new social cache. France, I think, had "resistance fighters." They fought Nazis. I'm told by a correspondent that NPR's Baghdad reports use the same term — "resistance fighters" — to describe really bad truck drivers carrying serious hazmat.

To paraphrase Bill Clinton, words sometimes have meaning. That's why the press is habitually shy about calling a terrorist a terrorist. After all, one man's terrorist is another man's resistance fighter, especially if the man works for the Observer.

May I digress? (It's the weekend, after all.) Reuters is the pioneer of this kind of well-mannered nomenclature, but the news pages of the Wall Street Journal are not far behind. For years — and for all I know, to this very day — the editor of the WSJ's "World Briefs" column refused to use the word "terrorist" to describe a terrorist. Wherever car bombs went off outside public buildings or suicide bombers mingled with casual diners, the felons were described in "World Briefs" as "rebels", "militants" and "activists" — kind of like James Dean, Gandhi and Martin Luther King. And this all went on long after 9/11, when people described in "World Briefs" as "fundamentalists" rode planes into the World Trade Center. Hmmm. That Billy Graham character. He's kind of fundamental, isn't he?

Even as the Journal's editorial page lambasted Reuters for its own whitewashing lingo, the only time I can recall seeing terrorists described as terrorists on the Journal's front page was when one of the paper's executives issued a statement following the murder by activists of Daniel Pearl. The exec used the T-word. The Journal quoted him, thus putting the word safely behind quotation marks, but the news side of the Journal couldn't quite bring itself to follow suit. In the news pages of the WSJ, as in most of the European press, there may be a war on terrorism, but, fortunately, there are no terrorists. Instead, there are Americans waging war on resistance fighters.

Anyway, where were we? Right, we were discussing defeat and retreat. To learn about Bush's desperate search for an acceptable way to say oncle!, I relied of course on the BBC, whose Paul Reynolds explained that the US is no longer looking for victory in rebuilding Iraq, but anxiously seeking to put "a viable exit strategy in place before the presidential campaign gets under way properly next year." Of course, that is a blueprint for defeat with and political disgrace all in one neat package. But it will capture the Kucinich cohort, for sure.

As I was going through all this, I had a houseguest, a chap who had just left his prestigious, babe-magnet of a job at the San Francisco Chronicle to take up the more honorable business of writing a book about grandmothers. We discussed how America lost the war in Iraq and concluded that, really, a school bus filled with militants could defeat the United States on the ground, so long as they had a sufficient supply of landmines, rocket- and grenade-launchers and demo-derby vehicles. We figured all it takes is media-savvy sensibility, a largely hysterical press corps, and an atrocity every day or two. If you're a rebel or militant or whatever, and you get a Hummer to roll past your bomb, you have a global PR machine primed and more than ready to promote your product — that would be the explosion — until it was a full-fledged "spiral of violence." If you can pull that off, in a few weeks, you'll have POTUS diving for cover.

Actually, a few days was all it took. You can follow along on the Guardian's helpful "Timeline: Iraq" feature. There's the morning of October 27, when a bunch of — there they are again! — "resistance fighters" launched a rocket at Baghdad's Rashid hotel. And there's the downing of a Chinook near Fallujah on November 2, in which 16 U.S. soldiers died. And there's a Black Hawk down, just like in the movies. And of course the demolition of the Italian military complex in Nassiriyah, only days ago. That brings us up to now, practically, with today's Guardian announcing a "radical rethink" by the U.S. Of course, there's always the chance that the "rethink" might be to stop trying to win the war in the newspapers, where all quagmires live, thrive and grow big and strong — until they inevitably become defeats.

I mention all this, because this represents, more or less, the way the British public is being led to understand the war their own forces are fighting with us. That understanding will be tested in a few days when George Bush comes to visit Tony Blair. As David Frum has already noted here, sending Bush to Britain is the diplomatic equivalent of buying Enron because you think your Tyco shares might tank.

There are only a few things worse than losing in Iraq. I think one of them is losing Britain as America's traditional ally. A few days of angry street demos and U.S. flag burnings will help further that cause enormously. To do his part, Sidney Blumenthal, the Tom Boswell of the Clinton administration, appeared in the Guardian's pages to help Britons understand better what American honor really means:

Tony Blair, about to welcome George Bush to London with pomp and circumstance, has assumed the mantle of tutor to the unlearned president.

Bush originally came to Blair determined to go to war in Iraq, but without a strategy. Blair instructed him that the casus belli was Saddam Hussein's weapons of mass destruction, urged him to make the case before the UN, and — when the effort to obtain a UN resolution failed — convinced him to revive the Middle East peace process, which the president had abandoned. The road map for peace was the principal concession Blair wrested from him.

The prime minister argued that renewing the negotiations was essential to the long-term credibility of the coalition goals in Iraq and the whole region. But within the Bush administration that initiative was systematically undermined. Now Blair welcomes a president who has taught him a lesson in statecraft that he refuses to acknowledge.

Blumenthal then lays out the details of Bush's betrayal of Blair. His conclusion:
Blair provided Bush with a reason for the war in Iraq, and led him to express his plan for peace for the Middle East, preventing Bush from appearing a reckless and isolated leader. In return, the teacher's seminar on the Middle East has been dropped.

Harold Macmillan remarked that after empire the British would act towards the Americans as the Greeks to the Romans. Though the Greeks were often tutors to the Romans, Macmillan neglected to mention that the Greeks were slaves.

Blumenthal neglected to mention that the Greeks so valued what Rome had given them that they insisted on calling themselves "Romans" centuries after the fall of Rome.
nationalreview.com



To: FaultLine who wrote (16135)11/14/2003 12:40:05 PM
From: LindyBill  Respond to of 793622
 
We're either too fast or too slow,


New Urgency, New Risks in 'Iraqification'
By Robin Wright and Thomas E. Ricks
Washington Post Staff Writers
Friday, November 14, 2003; Page A01

At least four factors forced the administration to overhaul its military and political strategy in Iraq, despite the danger that a new approach might actually diminish U.S. control over the country's future.

The foremost factor is the security risk -- from an Iraqi opposition that has become more intense, more effective, more sophisticated and more extensive. The other three are the failure of the Iraqi Governing Council to act, the Dec. 15 U.N. deadline for an Iraqi plan of action and the U.S. elections just a year away, according to administration and congressional officials and U.S. analysts.

All four factors produced a new sense of urgency in Washington. "In an atmosphere of heightened violence and instability, Iraq urgently requires a new political formula. The U.S. administration, increasingly alarmed at the turn of events, is considering a range of options. This will be its second chance to get it right; there may not be a third," the International Crisis Group, a nonpartisan watchdog, warned in a report issued yesterday.

The new approach amounts to Iraqification, or the handing over of responsibility for both a deteriorating security situation and a stalled political process to Iraqis. The goal, national security adviser Condoleezza Rice told reporters yesterday, "is that we find ways to accelerate the transfer of authority to the Iraqi people."

"They are clamoring for it; they are, we believe, ready for it. And they have very strong ideas about how that might be done," she said.

But Iraqification also poses significant hazards -- risks that emerge from the same security and political considerations that drove the administration's decision to change strategy.

As the administration sorts out a plan in talks with the Governing Council over the weekend, the first test may be in averting the appearance that the United States intends to cut and run. U.S. officials already sound defensive.

"We are not in a rush to leave. We will stay as long as we need to to ensure that Iraq is secure, that the hand-over makes sense and that a moderate Iraqi government emerges. And we're very capable of doing that," Army Gen. John Abizaid, the U.S. commander for Iraq and the Middle East, said at a news conference in Tampa yesterday.

Abizaid used the word "prudent" four times to describe his plans for Iraq.

President Bush said yesterday that the revamping of his policy was a "positive development" because it will get Iraqis "more involved" in the governance of their country.

But others were more skeptical. "If the policy is to more rapidly Iraqify the situation -- as in Vietnamization during the Vietnam War -- then that is another version of cutting and running. One way to cut and run is to simply say we're pulling out. Another is to prematurely turn over security to Iraqi forces and draw down American forces. That's a near-term prescription for disaster," said Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr. (D-Del.), a member of the Foreign Relations Committee.

"All the political body language coming out of Washington these days seems to show that we are going to cut and run," said Thomas Mahnken, the acting director of strategic studies at Johns Hopkins University. "That is precisely the wrong signal to be sending."

For an administration loath to concede it has made mistakes, redirecting U.S. policy is an open admission that the situation has reached a crisis point. Under mounting pressures, the White House had little choice but to effectively jettison the seven-point plan outlined by its own governor in Iraq, L. Paul Bremer, just two months ago.

"We so underestimated and underplanned and underthought about a post-Saddam Iraq that we've been woefully unprepared," said Sen. Chuck Hagel (R-Neb.), a Vietnam War veteran and member of the Foreign Relations Committee who has frequently visited Iraq. "Now we have a security problem. We have a reality problem. And we have a governance problem. . . . And time is not on our side."

Iraqification includes its own challenges. On the security front, experts worry that it will overburden the new and fragile Iraqi military and police units with limited training as they confront other Iraqis, particularly better-trained loyalists from Saddam Hussein's army.

"I'm not optimistic," said Gordon W. Rudd, a peacekeeping expert who earlier this year served on the staff of the U.S. occupation authority in Baghdad. "On the one hand, it's the right thing to do. On the other hand, you simply can't rush it." Rudd said he is especially concerned that the faster the training, the more Iraqi police and other officials will simply be inclined to resume their old corrupt, authoritarian ways.

Some experts say, however, that Iraqification could create a more effective anti-guerrilla force because indigenous units understand their own society and can identify opposition forces. "I think it is logical," said Frances West, who participated in an initiative in Vietnam similar to the creation of Iraqi civil defense forces now. "If our soldiers have six months with such small units, they will turn out Iraqi forces superior to the threat as it now appears."

Accelerating the political transition is also risky -- and it could even jeopardize the goal of creating a democratic government. As part of the new strategy, the United States is prepared to endorse some form of elections before a new constitution is written -- reversing the order outlined in Bremer's seven-point plan -- to ensure that a new governing body would have the legitimacy that the current 24-member council, handpicked by the United States, lacks.

"Elections are always chancy. You don't know the outcome, and some of the wrong people may win out. But if we're advocating democracy, we'll have to take that risk," Hagel said.

There are no guarantees, for example, that either the constitutional committee or a reconstituted provisional government would back democratic ideas for a constitution. The most organized political forces in Iraq are the Islamist parties, particularly among the majority Shiite population, and the former Baathists among Sunni Muslims.

The two greatest U.S. fears are that Iraq will end up with a new autocrat or will become a theocracy rather than a democracy. Some U.S. officials fear that a transfer of authority before Iraq gets a new constitution could pose the danger that an interim leader becomes president for life.

Other dangers include handing over power to people who are not fully prepared to take political office or ending up after elections with a fractious constitutional committee or a provisional government unable to agree on the major political challenges ahead. If the United States draws down forces before political stability has been ensured, the differences among Iraqis could deteriorate into conflict.

"If [a new body] lacks strong grass-roots support, then it will be vulnerable to a violent takeover and Iraq could revert to its violent past," said Judith Yaphe, a former CIA analyst now at the National Defense University.

As Abizaid described the U.S. dilemma, however, the key question is not whether Iraqis can take over their own security and governance, but whether the U.S. public has sufficient patience to let that happen.

"The goal of the enemy is to break the will of the United States of America," he said. "It's clear, it's simple, it's straightforward. Break our will, make us leave before Iraq is ready to come out and be a member of the responsible community of nations."
washingtonpost.com